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Middle East & North Africa

CrisisWatch Middle East & North Africa

CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, a tool designed to help decision-makers prevent deadly violence by keeping them up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace.

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Trends for Last Month June 2019

Deteriorated Situations

IranIraqSaudi ArabiaYemenTunisia

Improved Situations

none

Outlook for This Month July 2019

Conflict Risk Alerts

IranSaudi ArabiaYemenAlgeria

Resolution Opportunities

none

President's Take

How the U.S. and Iran Can Step Away from a Conflagration

Contributor

President & CEO
Rob_Malley

In his introduction to this month's edition of CrisisWatch, Crisis Group's conflict tracker, our President Robert Malley urges the U.S. and Iran to step back from a dangerous conflagration and calls for the immediate release of our colleague Michael Kovrig from arbitrary detention in China. 

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Reports & Briefings

In The News

13 Jul 2019
Idlib’s armed opposition may not be able to win an open battle for the northwest, but they can make a Syrian military victory terribly costly, maybe intolerably so. AP

Sam Heller

Senior Analyst, Non-state Armed Groups
10 Jul 2019
The French need to clarify in greater detail. The open question is whether or not they are actively supporting Haftar’s forces in their offensive on Tripoli. The Guardian

Claudia Gazzini

Consulting Analyst, Libya
5 Jul 2019
There has been a great deal of speculation around the reported UAE drawdown in Yemen. UAE objective has been consistent for 2 years: wind down involvement in the Huthi conflict. Twitter

Elizabeth Dickinson

Senior Analyst, Arabian Peninsula
3 Jul 2019
It is a pity that despite its goodwill and efforts, Europe fell short of preserving [the nuclear deal] that incarnates European belief in multilateralism. AP

Ali Vaez

Project Director, Iran
26 Jun 2019
The good offices of Omani diplomacy have averted regional crises in the past and would be welcome in the Israel-Palestine context. AFP

Elizabeth Dickinson

Senior Analyst, Arabian Peninsula
25 Jun 2019
The Trump administration's maximum pressure campaign [against Iran] has led to a climate that is ripe for inadvertent conflict. ABC

Ali Vaez

Project Director, Iran

Latest Updates

EU Watch List / Global

Watch List 2019 – Second Update

Watch List Updates complement International Crisis Group’s annual Watch List, most recently published in January 2019. These early-warning publications identify major conflict situations in which prompt action, driven or supported by the European Union and its member states, would generate stronger prospects for peace. The second update to the Watch List 2019 includes entries on Colombia, Ethiopia, Iran and Libya.

Iran Briefing Note #4

Iran Briefing Notes highlight and provide context for the previous week’s major events featured on International Crisis Group’s Iran-U.S. Trigger List. This infographic resource tracks developments on key flashpoints between Iran, the U.S. and their respective allies in the Middle East.

Iran Briefing Note #3

Iran Briefing Notes highlight and provide context for the previous week’s major events featured on International Crisis Group’s Iran-U.S. Trigger List. This infographic resource tracks developments on key flashpoints between Iran, the U.S. and their respective allies in the Middle East.

Iran Briefing Note #2

Iran Briefing Notes highlight and provide context for the previous week’s major events featured on International Crisis Group’s Iran-U.S. Trigger List. This infographic resource tracks developments on key flashpoints between Iran, the U.S. and their respective allies in the Middle East.

Our People

Peter Salisbury

Consulting Senior Analyst, Yemen
peterjsalisbury

Dareen Khalifa

Senior Analyst, Syria
dkhalifa

Joost Hiltermann

Program Director, Middle East and North Africa
JoostHiltermann

Riccardo Fabiani

Project Director, North Africa
ricfabiani

Michaël Béchir Ayari

Senior Analyst, Tunisia

Maria Fantappie

Senior Adviser, Iraq (Consulting)

Claudia Gazzini

Consulting Analyst, Libya

April Longley Alley

Deputy Program Director, Middle East and North Africa