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Middle East & North Africa

CrisisWatch Middle East & North Africa

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

View latest updates

Trends for Last Month July 2017

Deteriorated Situations

Yemen

Improved Situations

none

Outlook for This Month August 2017

Conflict Risk Alerts

Yemen

Resolution Opportunities

none

Reports & Briefings

In The News

19 Aug 2017
What’s astounding is that an attack like [the one in Barcelona] hasn’t taken place inside Morocco. The New York Times

Issandr El Amrani

Project Director, North Africa
12 Aug 2017
There is a risk that the Arabs, the Turkmen and the Shia will protest [against a referendum on Kurdish independence] and that Baghdad, backed by Iran, will send in militias or security forces. The Economist

Joost Hiltermann

Program Director, Middle East and North Africa
9 Aug 2017
The main candidates to inherit from [Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud] Abbas all share his political programme. Reuters

Nathan Thrall

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
4 Aug 2017
We are seeing a dramatic crisis between Jordan and Israel which makes de facto joint management [of the Holy Esplanade in Jerusalem] much more complicated. Anadolou Agency

Ofer Zalzberg

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
4 Aug 2017
We are seeing a dramatic crisis between Jordan and Israel which makes de facto joint management [of the Holy Esplanade in Jerusalem] much more complicated. Anadolou Agency

Ofer Zalzberg

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
3 Aug 2017
President Trump made clear that, in terms of the fate of the nuclear deal, the administration’s latest certification of Iranian compliance was only a temporary reprieve – a stay of execution. The Washington Post

Robert Malley

Vice President for Policy

Latest Updates

How the Islamic State Rose, Fell and Could Rise Again in the Maghreb

Despite its ongoing demise in Iraq and Syria, the Islamic State (ISIS) could prove resurgent in the Maghreb if past lessons and lingering threats remain unheeded. Algeria, Libya, Morocco and Tunisia should go beyond security and military measures to address persistent local grievances and tensions that ISIS has proven adept in exploiting.

Also available in العربية

Pressuring Qatar: What Happens in the Gulf Doesn’t Stay in the Gulf

The rift between Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates shows no sign of abating, at a time when the Middle East is increasingly polarised. In this excerpt from the Watch List 2017 – Second Update early warning report for European policy makers, Crisis Group urges the European Union and its member states to play an active role in de-escalating a crisis that could exacerbate persistent regional conflicts.

Our People

Joost Hiltermann

Program Director, Middle East and North Africa
JoostHiltermann

Robert Blecher

Deputy Program Director Middle East and North Africa & Special Adviser on Economics of Conflict
RobBlecher

Issandr El Amrani

Project Director, North Africa
boumilo

Sahar Atrache

Former Senior Analyst, Lebanon

Michaël Béchir Ayari

Senior Analyst, Tunisia

Noah Bonsey

Senior Analyst, Syria
NoahBonsey

Maria Fantappie

Senior Analyst, Iraq

Claudia Gazzini

Senior Analyst, Libya
claudiagazzini