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Middle East & North Africa

CrisisWatch Middle East & North Africa

CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, a tool designed to help decision-makers prevent deadly violence by keeping them up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace.

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Trends for Last Month August 2019

Deteriorated Situations

LebanonSyriaIraqYemenLibya

Improved Situations

none

Outlook for This Month September 2019

Conflict Risk Alerts

LebanonYemen

Resolution Opportunities

none

President's Take

The Dangers of Ignoring Yemen's Southern Question

Contributor

President & CEO
Rob_Malley

In his introduction to this month's edition of CrisisWatch, Crisis Group's conflict tracker, our President Robert Malley reflects on signs of hope in Afghanistan and Sudan, and on dangerous new developments in southern Yemen.

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Reports & Briefings

In The News

13 Sep 2019
The debate unfolding within Israel now is not whether annexation has happened or not, but rather whether to formalize it or not. TIME

Tareq Baconi

Analyst, Israel/Palestine and Economics of Conflict
2 Sep 2019
The French initiative is the last best hope for salvaging the [Iran nuclear] deal. Bloomberg

Ali Vaez

Project Director, Iran
1 Sep 2019
This ceasefire [in Idlib] may just be an operational pause for Damascus and Moscow to consolidate their territorial gains and prepare for the next phase of their offensive. Al Jazeera

Sam Heller

Senior Analyst, Non-state Armed Groups
20 Aug 2019
If the Russians have decided that they now care about the verbatim implementation of [the de-escalation] agreement then that is a big problem for Idlib and for Turkey. Financial Times

Sam Heller

Senior Analyst, Non-state Armed Groups
18 Aug 2019
[A rocket attack on Baghdad's Green Zone] was a way to test the limits of the Americans. Whoever did it is aware that the red line for the Trump administration is bloodshed. Financial Times

Maria Fantappie

Senior Adviser, Iraq (Consulting)
17 Aug 2019
The longer Damascus is excluded from certain areas of the country, the more facts are being created on the ground. Damascus has a lot of work to do in that respect, it could take a long time. The Arab Weekly

Heiko Wimmen

Project Director, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon

Latest Updates

Iran Briefing Note #12

Iran Briefing Notes highlight and provide context for the previous week’s major events featured on International Crisis Group’s Iran-U.S. Trigger List. This infographic resource tracks developments on key flashpoints between Iran, the U.S. and their respective allies in the Middle East.

Iraq: Evading the Gathering Storm

Should U.S.-Iranian tensions escalate to a shooting war, Iraq would likely be the first battleground. Washington and Tehran should stop trying to drag Baghdad into their fight. The Iraqi government should redouble its efforts to remain neutral and safeguard the country’s post-ISIS recovery.

Also available in العربية

Iran Briefing Note #11

Iran Briefing Notes highlight and provide context for the previous week’s major events featured on International Crisis Group’s Iran-U.S. Trigger List. This infographic resource tracks developments on key flashpoints between Iran, the U.S. and their respective allies in the Middle East.

Iran Briefing Note #10

Iran Briefing Notes highlight and provide context for the previous week’s major events featured on International Crisis Group’s Iran-U.S. Trigger List. This infographic resource tracks developments on key flashpoints between Iran, the U.S. and their respective allies in the Middle East.

Ali Vaez : « Evitons un “1914” du Proche-Orient »

Dans une tribune au « Monde », le spécialiste de l’Iran affirme que, si l’escalade se poursuit entre les Etats-Unis et l’Iran, le risque d’une déflagration qui embraserait tout le Proche-Orient, comme l’Europe en 1914, n’est pas à exclure.

Originally published in Le Monde

Our People

Peter Salisbury

Consulting Senior Analyst, Yemen
peterjsalisbury

Dareen Khalifa

Senior Analyst, Syria
dkhalifa

Joost Hiltermann

Program Director, Middle East and North Africa
JoostHiltermann

Riccardo Fabiani

Project Director, North Africa
ricfabiani

Michaël Béchir Ayari

Senior Analyst, Tunisia

Maria Fantappie

Senior Adviser, Iraq (Consulting)

Claudia Gazzini

Consulting Analyst, Libya

April Longley Alley

Deputy Program Director, Middle East and North Africa