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Latin America & Caribbean

CrisisWatch Latin America & Caribbean

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

View latest updates

Trends for Last Month March 2017

Deteriorated Situations

VenezuelaParaguay

Improved Situations

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Outlook for This Month April 2017

Conflict Risk Alerts

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Resolution Opportunities

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Reports & Briefings

In The News

22 Apr 2017
As the saying goes, [Venezuela's military is] willing to accompany Maduro to the cemetery but not be buried with him. The Washington Post

Phil Gunson

Senior Analyst, Andes
20 Apr 2017
[Some at the top of Venezuela's government] appear genuinely to believe that this is a revolution and the ultimate goal is the replacement of the capitalist economy with one that is entirely state-run. The Washington Post

Phil Gunson

Senior Analyst, Andes
13 Apr 2017
If the opposition are prepared to negotiate a calendar of elections and a transitional arrangement for Maduro, then it is possible the split between government hardliners and pragmatists could widen. Financial Times

Phil Gunson

Senior Analyst, Andes
8 Apr 2017
Everybody knows that the real reason the government [of Venezuela] doesn't want to have elections is because it's going lose them. NPR

Phil Gunson

Senior Analyst, Andes
28 Mar 2017
[The FARC rebel leader] “Pollo” wanted to return to the peace process since at least January, and in March he submitted a list of 333 dissident militia members who wanted to surrender. Colombia Reports

Kyle Johnson

Senior Analyst, Colombia
25 Mar 2017
The [Venezuelan] government controls nearly all levers of power while the opposition has the support of the voters. That's why the opposition needs to have elections and why the government doesn't. CBC News

Phil Gunson

Senior Analyst, Andes

Latest Updates

A Wary Farewell to Arms for the FARC

Since Colombia ratified a revised peace accord to end the country’s long insurgency, FARC rebels have moved rapidly to ad hoc cantonment sites where they will demobilise under UN supervision. But the FARC leadership’s commitment to the deal is under pressure from disparate elements in its rank and file.

Venezuela: A Regional Solution to the Political Standoff

Facing social and economic collapse, Venezuela is likely to continue to be Latin America's most urgent crisis in 2017. In this excerpt from our Watch List 2017 annual early-warning report for European policy makers, Crisis Group urges the European Union and its member states to work closely with governments in the region, particularly Caribbean nations with close ties to Caracas, toward the restoration of democracy in Venezuela.

We Don’t Need A Wall To Manage Migration From Mexico

Deportations from Mexico and the U.S. will not stop Central Americans fleeing poverty and violence. Instead of building a wall, the U.S. should help Mexico provide safe, secure reception areas on its southern border for Central American migrants.

Originally published in Miami Herald

Our People

Ivan Briscoe

Program Director, Latin America and Caribbean
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Phil Gunson

Senior Analyst, Andes
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Kyle Johnson

Senior Analyst, Colombia
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Arturo Matute

Analyst, Guatemala
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Sofía Martínez Fernández

Analyst, Northern Triangle
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Estefanie Robertson

Operations Manager, Latin America

Froylán Enciso

Senior Analyst, Mexico
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