Arrow Left Arrow Right Camera icon set icon set Ellipsis icon set Facebook Favorite Globe Hamburger List Mail Map Marker Map Microphone Minus PDF Play Print RSS Search Share Trash Twitter Video Camera Youtube

Latin America & Caribbean

CrisisWatch Latin America & Caribbean

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

View latest updates

Trends for Last Month January 2017

Deteriorated Situations

Mexico

Improved Situations

none

Outlook for This Month February 2017

Conflict Risk Alerts

none

Resolution Opportunities

none

Reports & Briefings

In The News

7 Feb 2017
The ELN [in Colombia] has still not renounced kidnapping. They might kidnap someone else in the future and we'll be back in the same difficulties. AFP

Kyle Johnson

Senior Analyst, Colombia
12 Nov 2016
Not everyone is going to be happy, but I still expect there to be a positive reaction in general [to the revised Colombian peace deal]. We do have an agreement, and I would expect there to be more political pressure on the opposition to accept this new agreement as well. Al Jazeera

Kyle Johnson

Senior Analyst, Colombia
9 Nov 2016
México tendrá que encontrar una forma de relacionarse con el futuro gobierno de Trump, algo complicado y difícil para una economía que no ha logrado despegar realmente, ni cubrir todas las necesidades de su población Deutsche Welle

Ivan Briscoe

Program Director, Latin America and Caribbean
27 Oct 2016
The peaceful electoral solution has been taken off the table so what's left to the opposition is to put as much pressure as they can [on President Maduro of Venezuela] in order to persuade the army to change sides and to invite international pressure. BBC Radio 5

Phil Gunson

Senior Analyst, Andes
6 Oct 2016
It's highly unlikely Colombia will achieve peace if Santos and Uribe themselves don't make peace. AFP

Kyle Johnson

Senior Analyst, Colombia
26 Sep 2016
[En Colombia], la restitución de tierras topará, en primer lugar, con la falta de infraestructura institucional y, en segundo, con la dificultad de encontrar los terrenos que se prevé repartir La Vanguardia

Kyle Johnson

Senior Analyst, Colombia

Latest Updates

We Don’t Need A Wall To Manage Migration From Mexico

Deportations from Mexico and the U.S. will not stop Central Americans fleeing poverty and violence. Instead of building a wall, the U.S. should help Mexico provide safe, secure reception areas on its southern border for Central American migrants.

Originally published in Miami Herald

El oscuro futuro de la negociación con el ELN

El anuncio de la instalación de la mesa ha producido mucha expectativa, pero el tiempo para negociar parece ser muy corto y la inmadurez política que ha demostrado esta guerrilla podría complicar aún más el panorama.  
 

Originally published in Razon Publica

Colombia tras el plebiscito: salir del atolladero

Los colombianos han dejado claro que quieren la paz. El referéndum del 2 de octubre obliga a reabrir la negociación para incluir algunas de las demandas implícitas en el voto del No. La dificultad está en negociar mientras el reloj apunta a las presidenciales de 2018.

Originally published in Política Exterior

Our People

Ivan Briscoe

Program Director, Latin America and Caribbean
itbriscoe

Phil Gunson

Senior Analyst, Andes
philgunson

Kyle Johnson

Senior Analyst, Colombia
KyleEnColombia

Arturo Matute

Analyst, Guatemala
AMatuteICG

Sofía Martínez Fernández

Analyst, Northern Triangle
sofiamartinezf

Estefanie Robertson

Operations Manager, Latin America

Froylán Enciso

Senior Analyst, Mexico
elfroyenciso