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한반도 위기 (I): 불과 분노의 사선에서
한반도 위기 (I): 불과 분노의 사선에서
Table of Contents
  1. Executive Summary
  2. Introduction
  3. Pyongyang’s Nuclear Motives
    1. Strategic Goals and External Risks
    2. Challenges at Home
  4. Sabre Rattling from Washington
    1. Undeterrable North Korea and a U.S. That Hates Being Deterred
    2. “All Options on the Table”
  5. Seoul’s Shifting Calculations
    1. No Sunshine 2.0
    2. Not Masters of Their Own Fate
  6. Extent and Limits of Chinese Influence
    1. Three Nos, and Then Some
    2. How Far Can Beijing Go?
  7. Where Japan and Russia Stand
  8. Conclusion
  9. Appendix A: Maps of the Korean Peninsula
  10. Appendix B: Map of North East Asia
The Korean Peninsula Crisis (II): From Fire and Fury to Freeze-for-Freeze
The Korean Peninsula Crisis (II): From Fire and Fury to Freeze-for-Freeze
Table of Contents
  1. Executive Summary
  2. Introduction
  3. Limits of Economic Pressure
  4. Dangers of Belligerence
  5. The Costs of War
  6. A Way Out
  7. Conclusion
  8. Appendix A: Map of the Korean Peninsula
  9. Appendix B: Map of North East Asia
A Korean War memorial in Pyongyang, capital of the North Korea, with the newly built Victorious Fatherland Liberation War Museum in the background, in April 2016. CRISIS GROUP/Christopher Green
Report 293 / Asia

한반도 위기 (I): 불과 분노의 사선에서

악몽 같은 한반도 전쟁이 근래 어느 때보다 더 가까워졌다. 시리즈로 펴낸 두 보고서 중 첫 번째에서 국제위기감시기구(Crisis Group)는 그 영향을 가장 크게 받거나 가장 깊이 관련된 국가들의 이해관계와 계산을 살펴본다: 조선(북한), 미국, 한국, 중국, 일본, 러시아.

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