Donald Trump is seen with a bandage on his ear.

Aftermath of a Shooting

After a would-be assassin shot at former U.S. President and current Republican candidate Donald Trump on 13 July, the country’s political leaders, especially Trump himself, should avoid stoking division in order to reduce risks of violence as the November election approaches. 

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CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, an early warning tool designed to help prevent deadly violence. It keeps decision-makers up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises every month, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace. In addition, CrisisWatch monitors over 50 situations (“standby monitoring”) to offer timely information if developments indicate a drift toward violence or instability. Entries dating back to 2003 provide easily searchable conflict histories.

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Trends for Last Month 6월 2024

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Outlook for This Month January 1970

Resolution Opportunities

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Israel’s threatened termination of a banking waiver would paralyse financial activity in the West Bank, causing an economic meltdown and risking the Palestinian Authority’s collapse – with dire consequences for West Bank Palestinians – and maybe for Israel, too. The U.S. should press Israel to change course.

The gruelling war in Ukraine continues, with Russian forces creeping forward amid fierce fighting. To stop Russia’s immediate momentum and withstand its assault, Kyiv and its backers will need to move quickly to fix problems that have hindered the Ukrainian effort to date.

In The News

14 7월 2024
It is likely Somalia will still require foreign troops’ assistance for at least the next couple of years in order to avoid a security reversal. The East African

Omar Mahmood

Senior Analyst, Eastern Africa
12 7월 2024
With the United States reinvigorating its core alliances and partnerships in Europe and Asia … China seeks to demonstrate that it can assemble coalitions of its own. Voice of America

Ali Wyne

Senior Research and Advocacy Adviser, U.S.-China
11 7월 2024
India’s most trusted … bilateral relationship is probably with Russia. It’s been at the heart of India’s foreign and strategic policy for a long time. Andalou Agency

Praveen Donthi

Senior Analyst, India
9 7월 2024
The big question many have is if [Ethiopian Prime Minister] Abiy Ahmed could position himself as a mediator between [Sudan's army chief] Burhan and the UAE. Reuters

Alan Boswell

Project Director, Horn of Africa
28 6월 2024
Russia is dead-set on breaking up the sanctions regime [on North Korea] and China has not done much to restrain Moscow. Reuters

Richard Gowan

UN Director
26 6월 2024
The jihadists have deeply ingrained themselves into the local landscape [in northern Mali]. [That] has made it much harder to uproot them. New York Times

Ibrahim Yahaya Ibrahim

Deputy Project Director, Sahel

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