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한반도 위기 (II): 불과 분노에서 쌍중단으로
한반도 위기 (II): 불과 분노에서 쌍중단으로
Table of Contents
  1. Executive Summary
  2. Introduction
  3. Limits of Economic Pressure
  4. Dangers of Belligerence
  5. The Costs of War
  6. A Way Out
  7. Conclusion
  8. Appendix A: Map of the Korean Peninsula
  9. Appendix B: Map of North East Asia
The Korean Peninsula Crisis (I): In the Line of Fire and Fury
The Korean Peninsula Crisis (I): In the Line of Fire and Fury
Table of Contents
  1. Executive Summary
  2. Introduction
  3. Pyongyang’s Nuclear Motives
    1. Strategic Goals and External Risks
    2. Challenges at Home
  4. Sabre Rattling from Washington
    1. Undeterrable North Korea and a U.S. That Hates Being Deterred
    2. “All Options on the Table”
  5. Seoul’s Shifting Calculations
    1. No Sunshine 2.0
    2. Not Masters of Their Own Fate
  6. Extent and Limits of Chinese Influence
    1. Three Nos, and Then Some
    2. How Far Can Beijing Go?
  7. Where Japan and Russia Stand
  8. Conclusion
  9. Appendix A: Maps of the Korean Peninsula
  10. Appendix B: Map of North East Asia
South Korean soldiers patrol along a barbed-wire fence near the demilitarized zone separating the two Koreas, in Paju, South Korea, on 21 December 2017. REUTERS/Kim Hong-Ji
Report 294 / Asia

한반도 위기 (II): 불과 분노에서 쌍중단으로

한반도의 벼랑 끝 전술로 재앙을 초래할 수 있는 군사적 긴장이 높아지고 있다. 시리즈로 펴낸 두 보고서 중 두 번째에서 국제위기감시기구(Crisis Group)는 위기를 해소하고 더 항구적인 해법을 위한 시간을 벌 수 있는 단계들을 제시한다.

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