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朝鲜半岛危机 (二) ：从火与怒到“以停止换停止”
朝鲜半岛危机 (二) ：从火与怒到“以停止换停止”
Table of Contents
  1. Executive Summary
  2. Introduction
  3. Limits of Economic Pressure
  4. Dangers of Belligerence
  5. The Costs of War
  6. A Way Out
  7. Conclusion
  8. Appendix A: Map of the Korean Peninsula
  9. Appendix B: Map of North East Asia
The Korean Peninsula Crisis (I): In the Line of Fire and Fury
The Korean Peninsula Crisis (I): In the Line of Fire and Fury
Table of Contents
  1. Executive Summary
  2. Introduction
  3. Pyongyang’s Nuclear Motives
    1. Strategic Goals and External Risks
    2. Challenges at Home
  4. Sabre Rattling from Washington
    1. Undeterrable North Korea and a U.S. That Hates Being Deterred
    2. “All Options on the Table”
  5. Seoul’s Shifting Calculations
    1. No Sunshine 2.0
    2. Not Masters of Their Own Fate
  6. Extent and Limits of Chinese Influence
    1. Three Nos, and Then Some
    2. How Far Can Beijing Go?
  7. Where Japan and Russia Stand
  8. Conclusion
  9. Appendix A: Maps of the Korean Peninsula
  10. Appendix B: Map of North East Asia
South Korean soldiers patrol along a barbed-wire fence near the demilitarized zone separating the two Koreas, in Paju, South Korea, on 21 December 2017. REUTERS/Kim Hong-Ji
Report 294 / Asia

朝鲜半岛危机 (二) ：从火与怒到“以停止换停止”

朝鲜半岛上的边缘博弈政策有可能导致灾难性的军事冲突。在本报告的第二部分中，危机组织提出了缓和危机的一系列举措，以便为寻求更持久的解决方案赢得时间。

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