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The Korean Peninsula Crisis (II): From Fire and Fury to Freeze-for-Freeze
The Korean Peninsula Crisis (II): From Fire and Fury to Freeze-for-Freeze
Table of Contents
  1. Executive Summary
  2. Introduction
  3. Limits of Economic Pressure
  4. Dangers of Belligerence
  5. The Costs of War
  6. A Way Out
  7. Conclusion
  8. Appendix A: Map of the Korean Peninsula
  9. Appendix B: Map of North East Asia
The Korean Peninsula Crisis (I): In the Line of Fire and Fury
The Korean Peninsula Crisis (I): In the Line of Fire and Fury
Table of Contents
  1. Executive Summary
  2. Introduction
  3. Pyongyang’s Nuclear Motives
    1. Strategic Goals and External Risks
    2. Challenges at Home
  4. Sabre Rattling from Washington
    1. Undeterrable North Korea and a U.S. That Hates Being Deterred
    2. “All Options on the Table”
  5. Seoul’s Shifting Calculations
    1. No Sunshine 2.0
    2. Not Masters of Their Own Fate
  6. Extent and Limits of Chinese Influence
    1. Three Nos, and Then Some
    2. How Far Can Beijing Go?
  7. Where Japan and Russia Stand
  8. Conclusion
  9. Appendix A: Maps of the Korean Peninsula
  10. Appendix B: Map of North East Asia
South Korean soldiers patrol along a barbed-wire fence near the demilitarized zone separating the two Koreas, in Paju, South Korea, on 21 December 2017. REUTERS/Kim Hong-Ji
Report 294 / Asia

The Korean Peninsula Crisis (II): From Fire and Fury to Freeze-for-Freeze

Brinksmanship on the Korean peninsula threatens a potentially catastrophic military escalation. In this second report of a two-part series, Crisis Group lays out the steps to de-escalate the crisis and buy time for a more durable solution.

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