This photo taken on July 30, 2017 shows guerrillas of the New People's Army (NPA) marching in the Sierra Madre mountain range, located east of Manila. Fuelled by one of the world's starkest rich-poor divides, a Maoist rebellion that began months before the first human landed on the moon plods on even though the country now boasts one of the world's fastest-growing economies. Noel CELIS / AFP

Calming the Long War in the Philippine Countryside

Manila’s counter-insurgency campaign has whittled the Philippine communist rebellion down to a fraction of its former strength. But it has fallen short of ending the conflict. A negotiated peace preceded by confidence-building measures is the best way forward.

CrisisWatch
Conflict Tracker
View Latest Edition

Minimap March 2024

CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, an early warning tool designed to help prevent deadly violence. It keeps decision-makers up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises every month, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace. In addition, CrisisWatch monitors over 50 situations (“standby monitoring”) to offer timely information if developments indicate a drift toward violence or instability. Entries dating back to 2003 provide easily searchable conflict histories.

Learn more about CrisisWatch

Trends for Last Month marec 2024

Improved Situations

Papua New Guinea Somaliland Senegal

Outlook for This Month January 1970

Resolution Opportunities

Žiadne

The Israeli military campaign in the Gaza Strip has pushed many of its residents to the edge of death from starvation and disease. Only a prolonged ceasefire accompanied by a massive aid operation can improve the situation enough to avoid a horrific toll.

Two years after Russia’s all-out invasion of Ukraine, Washington is struggling to maintain support for Kyiv. A new assistance package is stuck in Congress. In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert Sarah Harrison explains what is causing the holdup and what it could mean for the war. 

In The News

17 apr 2024
The [Venezuelan] opposition has a massive opportunity [in the upcoming elections] to make it clear Maduro isn’t wanted. New York Times

Phil Gunson

Senior Analyst, Andes
16 apr 2024
A big part of the problem has been the Sudanese army side of the war essentially blocking food relief into areas they don't control. CBS News

Alan Boswell

Project Director, Horn of Africa
15 apr 2024
The regional states remain quite concerned that the longer the open-ended conflict in Gaza goes on, the greater the possibility … of a regional war. USA Today

Michael Wahid Hanna

Program Director, U.S.
14 apr 2024
Iran’s government appears to have concluded that the Damascus strike [by Israel] was a strategic inflection point, where failure to retaliate would carry more downsides t... New York Times

Ali Vaez

Senior Adviser to the President & Project Director, Iran

Support Us

Your investment helps us to meet the growing demand for our work as we confront a terrible trend toward more wars, more civilians killed and more people displaced worldwide.

Donate now Learn What We Do

Subscribe to Crisis Group’s Email Updates

Receive the best source of conflict analysis right in your inbox.