After almost 70 years of armed conflict, Myanmar has a rare but fading opportunity to finalise a broad-based, federal settlement. The government must adopt a more flexible approach that allays opposition concerns, and armed groups need to go beyond preliminaries and engage in meaningful discussions.
Des manifestations violentes ont eu lieu à Kinshasa en septembre, tandis que l’intention du président Kabila de se maintenir au pouvoir après la limite constitutionnelle du 19 décembre devenait plus claire. Les acteurs régionaux et internationaux doivent user des leviers diplomatiques et financiers à leur disposition pour permettre la tenue d’élections crédibles et faire cesser les violences en République démocratique du Congo.
It is true that Turkey is stepping into a foreign country, but it is also true that some of the Iraqi actors have strong links to regional powers. So how to draw the line between what is Iraqi and non-Iraqi? It's kind of difficult.
Some of us looking at the conflict [in Syria] from the West have consistently underestimated the capacity for bloodshed in Syria to worsen. There’s a temptation to think, well, it can’t get any worse. And yet repeatedly it has gotten worse. And I think there’s a lesson there. There’s no reason to believe this will be as bad as things get.
We have to think very carefully about the use of violence [against Boko Haram], sometimes it is necessary, but it mustn’t aggravate the situation, rather it must help to reduce or resolve the conflict. Force should be used cautiously.
The protests [in Ethiopia] have now reached a serious level, a different scale. We should not exaggerate and say the government is going to keel over tomorrow, but it portends future trouble unless they get a grip.
Only a quarter [of Boko Haram's recruits] learned about the group at mosques or Islamic schools. [They] used to be the place to get new recruits, but now they are under the spotlight.
The Taliban [in their assault on Kunduz] wanted to manoeuvre, raise their flag and then quickly leave. The Taliban know that they are not capable of holding onto the city centre.
CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.
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The bombing of a funeral has empowered the country's worst forces and could drag America into the fray.
Originally published in Foreign Policy
Originally published in The Washington Post
Originally published in El Independiente
Domestic repression and self-imposed isolation has characterised Uzbekistan for much of the time since its independence in 1991. Following the death of Islam Karimov, the country’s long-time and only post-Soviet president, the outside world must seize a rare opportunity to re-engage with this critical Central Asian country.