Russia’s and China’s separate visions for Central Asia could transform the region’s political and economic landscape as well as relations between the two Eurasian giants. To the smaller, embryonic Central Asian nation states, the new geopolitical realities could offer both economic prosperity as well as worsening instability and conflict.
Despite its ongoing demise in Iraq and Syria, the Islamic State (ISIS) could prove resurgent in the Maghreb if past lessons and lingering threats remain unheeded. Algeria, Libya, Morocco and Tunisia should go beyond security and military measures to address persistent local grievances and tensions that ISIS has proven adept in exploiting.
It’s been essentially the Paul Kagame show [in Rwanda] for the last two decades, and not too many people see that changing.
Violence [in Israel] is likely to worsen absent a major policy shift. Netanyahu’s mistake was installing the metal detectors without a Muslim interlocutor.
Whatever Saudi Arabia's current view of the Muslim Brotherhood in other countries, in Yemen they are natural allies against the Houthi-Saleh alliance.
The Iran-Iraq war was the formative experience for all of Iran’s leaders. From [commander of the Iranian Quds Force General Qassim] Suleimani all the way down. It was their ‘never again’ moment.
We are already seeing signs that [attempts by ISIS remnants to influence and win over groups opposed to General Khalifa Haftar in Libya] may have already happened.
The questions for Saudi Arabia and the Emirates are: Was this the best way to signal their discontent? Was the decision to isolate Qatar the right one? And, perhaps most importantly ― what is the way out?
CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.
Your investment helps us to meet the growing demand for our work as we confront a terrible trend toward more wars, more civilians killed and more people displaced worldwide.
L’Etat islamique (EI), les groupes liés à al-Qaeda, Boko Haram et d’autres mouvements extrémistes sont les protagonistes des crises actuelles les plus meurtrières, ce qui complique les efforts pour y mettre fin. Ils exploitent les guerres, la faillite des Etats et les bouleversements géopolitiques au Moyen-Orient, s’implantent en Afrique et constituent ailleurs une menace en constante évolution. Enrayer leur avancée nécessite d’éviter les erreurs qui ont permis leur émergence.
Les femmes ont subi les violences et les mauvais traitements de Boko Haram, mais ce ne sont pas seulement des victimes : certaines ont volontairement rejoint les jihadistes, d’autres combattent l’insurrection, font partie des équipes de secours ou participent aux initiatives lancées en faveur de la réconciliation. Les expériences des femmes devraient façonner les politiques de lutte contre l’insurrection et leur contribution à une paix durable devrait être facilitée.
Receive the best source of field research and practical policy recommendations right in your inbox
Get the latest updates from Crisis Group and our staff around the web.
While the presence of the UN peace operation MONUSCO in the DRC is crucial, it needs to adapt to the deepening crisis as violence escalates in parts of the country, and recognise President Kabila’s role in the country’s instability. The UN should use its forthcoming strategic review to adjust the mission to these challenges.
Traditional stakeholders Europe and the U.S. are reassessing their commitments in Africa, generating new geopolitical realities for the African Union. Africa Program Director Comfort Ero argues that the AU’s future relevance and credibility will depend on its ability to generate more unity and leadership.
Crisis Group’s Senior Analyst Murithi Mutiga has just returned from a weeklong tour of the troubled central Kenyan county of Laikipia, where violence between indigenous nomadic pastoralists and ranchers is escalating in the run-up to elections scheduled for 8 August.