Arrow Left Arrow Right Camera icon set icon set Ellipsis icon set Facebook Favorite Globe Hamburger List Mail Map Marker Map Microphone Minus PDF Play Print RSS Search Share Trash Twitter Video Camera Youtube

Venezuela: Hunger by Default

Economic mismanagement, corruption and dwindling reserves have forced Venezuela into penury and now into missed payments and partial default on its debts. Full-scale, internationally supervised negotiations involving a restored parliament are essential to pave the way to a debt restructuring and a free, fair presidential election.

In The News

22 Nov 2017
The idea of the leader who stays on for 30 or 40 years is less and less accepted in Africa. [However, the regime change in Zimbabwe] does not necessarily mean more democracy. AFP

Rinaldo Depagne

Project Director, West Africa
21 Nov 2017
Giving birth to a visible Saudi-Israeli alliance that will deter Iran is in many ways the very rationale for advancing Israeli-Palestinian peace in Washington and Riyadh. Al Jazeera

Ofer Zalzberg

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
21 Nov 2017
The [Mosque Bomb] attack [in Nigeria] underscores the fact that Boko Haram is not yet defeated and poses a serious challenge to security, as well as to humanitarian and reconstruction efforts. Bloomberg

Nnamdi Obasi

Senior Adviser, Nigeria
21 Nov 2017
[Zimbabwe's coup] is a major overreach by the military in terms of a direct violation of the constitution. There is a huge danger associated with this military intervention. Huffington Post

Piers Pigou

Senior Consultant, Southern Africa
19 Nov 2017
[Afghanistan's minister for border and tribal affairs] Sherzai has been prone to arming people of his own tribe after he emerged as one of the most powerful men in the south after the fall of the Taliban. The Guardian
Profile Image

Borhan Osman

Senior Analyst, Afghanistan
16 Nov 2017
[Kenya's] opposition has given greater currency [to political concessions] because of the elections dispute. I don’t think the opposition’s endgame is the Balkanisation of Kenya. Bloomberg

Rashid Abdi

Project Director, Horn of Africa

CrisisWatch

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

View latest updates

Trends for Last Month October 2017

Improved Situations

none

Outlook for This Month November 2017

Conflict Risk Alerts

NigeriaLibya

Resolution Opportunities

none

Regional Updates

Our Methodology

Field Research
Sharp Analysis
High-level Advocacy
Learn more about our methodology

Support Us

Your investment helps us to meet the growing demand for our work as we confront a terrible trend toward more wars, more civilians killed and more people displaced worldwide.

Donate now Learn how you can help

From Early Warning to Early Action

Growing discontent threatens the dysfunctional and corrupt political system built by President Museveni, who is now manoeuvering to extend his three decades in power by raising a 75-year age limit on presidential candidates. As security, governance and economic performance deteriorates, Uganda needs urgent reforms to avoid greater instability.

Peace, Justice and Reconciliation

Seven years after its civil war ended, Sri Lanka’s democratic space has reopened but strains are building from a powerful opposition, institutional overlaps and a weakened economy. To make reforms a real success, the prime minister and president should cooperate with openness and redouble efforts to tackle legacies of war like impunity, Tamil detainees and military-occupied land.

Latest Updates

Opportunities and Challenges Await Kyrgyzstan’s Incoming President

The inauguration of Kyrgyzstan’s new president on 24 November is a tribute to the country’s parliamentary democracy. But to overcome continued vulnerability, Sooronbai Jeenbekov must manage powerful southern elites, define the role of religion in society and spearhead reconciliation with Central Asian neighbours Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan.

Venezuela: Hunger by Default

Economic mismanagement, corruption and dwindling reserves have forced Venezuela into penury and now into missed payments and partial default on its debts. Full-scale, internationally supervised negotiations involving a restored parliament are essential to pave the way to a debt restructuring and a free, fair presidential election.

Report / Africa

Uganda’s Slow Slide into Crisis

Growing discontent threatens the dysfunctional and corrupt political system built by President Museveni, who is now manoeuvering to extend his three decades in power by raising a 75-year age limit on presidential candidates. As security, governance and economic performance deteriorates, Uganda needs urgent reforms to avoid greater instability.

Lebanon in the Crosshairs

Lebanon is caught between Iran and Saudi Arabia as regional tensions rise following the resignation of Lebanon's Prime Minister Saad Hariri on 4 November. In this video from Beirut, Crisis Group's Project Director for Lebanon, Syria and Iraq Heiko Wimmen argues that the resignation alone is unlikely to destabilise Lebanon, but that sanctions by Gulf states might well derail its fragile economy.

Commentary / Africa

Zimbabwe’s Very Peculiar Coup

Zimbabwe’s military has detained the country’s 93-year-old President Robert Mugabe and his wife, Grace Mugabe, and taken control of the streets of the capital and the main television station. The next step – apparently, a legitimate-looking transfer of power to someone of the army’s choosing – may prove less easy.