Arrow Left Arrow Right Camera icon set icon set Ellipsis icon set Facebook Favorite Globe Hamburger List Mail Map Marker Map Microphone Minus PDF Play Print RSS Search Share Trash Twitter Video Camera Youtube

In The News

27 Jul 2016
President Erdoğan has long seen himself as a natural ally of the Muslim Brotherhood throughout the Middle East. Any action against the Muslim Brotherhood he saw as a threat to himself. NPR

Hugh Pope

Director of Communications & Outreach
27 Jul 2016
[Netanyahu has released a surprise on-camera apology for warning about Arab ‘droves’ on Israel’s election last year.] One dimension is to improve Israel’s international image with respect to the Arab minority. Some international observers can find this credible. AP

Ofer Zalzberg

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
27 Jul 2016
[There is a need for an operational integration in the fight against Boko Haram in the Lake Chad basin.] Each force is based in its country of origin. There’s no integrated force with battalions moving in perfect coordination. Reuters

Vincent Foucher

Senior Analyst, West Africa
25 Jul 2016
There is a general feeling in Afghanistan that violence has now become a tool for key individuals to exert their influence and expand their economic resources. Radio France International

Timor Sharan

Senior Analyst, Afghanistan
25 Jul 2016
With the reestablishment of Afghanistan’s national air force, we’re seeing the Taliban being driven into the mountains more than previously. RFI

Timor Sharan

Senior Analyst, Afghanistan
22 Jul 2016
[In Iraq, the U.S. and other nations are channelling resources into local Sunni coffers, a tactic used during the U.S.-led occupation.] What’s at stake is re-establishing the same sort of political order that actually led to the rise of [the Islamic State]. We have to be careful not to repeat the same mistakes of the past. Mc Clatchy DC

Maria Fantappie

Senior Analyst, Iraq


CrisisWatch is a monthly early-warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

View latest updates

Trends for Last Month June 2016

Improved Situations


Outlook for This Month July 2016

Conflict Risk Alerts

South Sudan

Resolution Opportunities


Regional Updates

Our Methodology

Field Research
Sharp Analysis
High-level Advocacy
Learn more about our methodology

Support Us

Your investment helps us to meet the growing demand for our work as we confront a terrible trend toward more wars, more civilians killed and more people displaced worldwide.

Donate now Learn how you can help

Crisis Group on Twitter

Latest Updates

Erdoğan’s Pyrrhic Victory

Turkish leader’s instincts saved him from a coup, but his authoritarian instincts will again threaten his legitimacy.

Originally published in Politico Europe

Commentary / Africa

Insights from the Burundian Crisis (III): Back to Arusha and the Politics of Dialogue

When Burundians, and international mediators, finally meet in Arusha, they must remember the lessons of the last hard-won peace process more than a decade ago. The root causes of conflict in Burundi are political, not ethnic, and cannot be resolved by force. Compromise will be necessary, since neither the government nor the opposition have the means to win a definitive victory. Pursuing maximalist positions will only mean more hardship and bloodshed, which will further erode the real progress in reconciliation made since 2000. Genuine dialogue, addressing not only immediate problems but also fundamental political differences is needed to resolve the current crisis and chart a peaceful future for the country.

Report / Africa

Mali central : la fabrique d’une insurrection ?

Alors que toute l’attention est concentrée sur le Nord du Mali, le centre du pays est en proie à une montée inquiétante de la violence. Des groupes armés, y compris radicaux, se développent,​ et​ profite​nt du discrédit de l’Etat auprès​ d’une partie des populations locales. Le gouvernement d​o​it permettre le retour effectif de​s services publics​ sur ces territoires ​afin​ de rétablir ​l’autorité et la légitimité de l’Etat​​.​​

Also available in English
Report / Asia

The Philippines: Renewing Prospects for Peace in Mindanao

Hopes are high that one of the world’s longest-running civil conflicts can be resolved in the Philippines. The newly-elected president must act on his commitment to the outgoing administration’s promise of autonomy for the southern Bangsamoro (Muslim Nation) population. Failure to do so risks more lawlessness or reigniting the insurgency.

More articles