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Horn of Africa

CrisisWatch Horn of Africa

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

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Trends for Last Month February 2017

Deteriorated Situations

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Improved Situations

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Outlook for This Month March 2017

Conflict Risk Alerts

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Resolution Opportunities

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Reports & Briefings

In The News

9 Mar 2017
Khartoum has successfully portrayed the SPLM-N as spoilers in the peace talks and inhibitors to humanitarian aid being delivered to the region. This move is likely an attempt to rehabilitate their image. The World Weekly

Magnus Taylor

Analyst, Horn of Africa
6 Mar 2017
[Farmajo] should turn his attention firmly [to strengthening the army] and appeal to the West and Arab countries to give Somali troops proper training, equipment, salary. Voice of America

Rashid Abdi

Project Director, Horn of Africa
3 Mar 2017
The concern in Washington [about Al-Shabaab in Somalia] has been mounting for some time now ... U.S. special forces are already on the ground. Drone attacks have been scaled up. The Seattle Times

Rashid Abdi

Project Director, Horn of Africa
16 Feb 2017
If [Somalia's new president Mohamed Abdullahi] wants to re-adjust the relationship between Somalia and Ethiopia, he has to be very careful. If he uses the old anti-Ethiopia rhetoric, he is going to quickly run into trouble. AFP

Rashid Abdi

Project Director, Horn of Africa
9 Feb 2017
If I were to advise [the new Somali president], I will tell him to go slow in relation with [Ethiopia and Kenya] and to build new bridges.They ultimately have collective, strategic interest working together to stabilize Somalia. VOA

Rashid Abdi

Project Director, Horn of Africa
8 Feb 2017
[President Trump's] travel restrictions will complicate U.S. security cooperation in the Horn of Africa. It will be a big boon for al-Shabab recruiting efforts. All Africa

Rashid Abdi

Project Director, Horn of Africa

Latest Updates

Statement / Africa

Twelve Points for the New African Union Commission Chairperson

Africa is experiencing the highest number of humanitarian crises since the 1990s. As the new chair of the African Union Commission, Moussa Faki Mahamat, takes office, International Crisis Group suggests how he can strengthen the organisation’s response to threats to continental peace and security.

Also available in Français
Commentary / Africa

Somalia: New Leadership, Persistent Problems

The recent election of President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmajo is an important step toward Somalia's recovery after decades of instability. In this excerpt from our Watch List 2017 annual early-warning report for European policy makers, Crisis Group encourages the European Union and its member states to support the government by injecting new life into the national reconciliation talks and boost assistance for sub-national governance.

Commentary / Africa

Ethiopia Must Continue to Help Stabilise South Sudan

Addis Ababa can win economic and security gains if it perseveres with its impressive commitment to peace efforts in South Sudan. With its new two-year membership on the UN Security Council, Addis Ababa has the opportunity to better connect regionally-led political processes to UN action. 

Op-Ed / Africa

It’s in Uganda’s Interest to Keep Supporting South Sudan Peace Efforts

President Museveni will naturally defend Uganda’s short-term interests, but he should also work towards longer-term stability by supporting President Salva Kiir’s pledge to bring peace through ARCSS implementation, negotiations and national dialogue.

Originally published in Daily Monitor

Our People

Rashid Abdi

Project Director, Horn of Africa
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Abdullahi Abdille

Researcher, Horn of Africa
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Grace Njuguna

Office Manager, Horn of Africa

Magnus Taylor

Analyst, Horn of Africa

Zakaria Yusuf

Analyst, Somalia

Claire Elder

Consulting Analyst, Horn of Africa

Murithi Mutiga

Senior Analyst, Horn of Africa
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