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Horn of Africa

CrisisWatch
Conflict Tracker Horn of Africa
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Trends for Last Month August 2021

Deteriorated Situations

South Sudan

Improved Situations

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Outlook for This Month September 2021

Conflict Risk Alerts

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Resolution Opportunities

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Reports & Briefings

In The News

9 Aug 2021
There is still no sign of a broader reset in South Sudanese politics [...] instead, the divisions just keep mounting. New York Times

Alan Boswell

Senior Analyst, South Sudan
22 Jul 2021
Al Shabaab is fully embedded in Somali society, especially in areas under their control, where local populations have little choice but to engage the group. VICE News

Omar Mahmood

Senior Analyst, Somalia
11 Jul 2021
The current violent blowback indicates that [President] Abiy and his allies cannot achieve peace and prosperity for all Ethiopians by imposing their vision and party on Ethiopia using the coercive power of the state. Al Jazeera

William Davison

Senior Analyst, Ethiopia
9 Jul 2021
[South Sudan] is just, unfortunately, in a much worse spot than it was 10 years ago. Whenever I talk with various diplomats from different countries [...] they all fear cutting humanitarian aid to South Sudan would just cause more misery. Both the South Sudanese and the outside world feel a bit stuck at the moment. Al Jazeera

Alan Boswell

Senior Analyst, South Sudan
2 Jul 2021
The fact that the U.S. and its allies have secured [a UNSC] meeting is itself a signal that Ethiopia has lost some credibility […] and it opens up the possibility that the Council will take further action down the road. CBS News

Richard Gowan

UN Director
30 Jun 2021
It's imperative that [the Sudanese government] communicate properly to the population...on this [IMF debt relief program] so people don't look up and just see the pain. Reuters

Jonas Horner

Deputy Project Director, Horn of Africa & Senior Analyst, Sudan

Latest Updates

Briefing / Africa

Building on Somaliland’s Successful Elections

Somaliland took an important step toward stable democracy with parliamentary and local council polls on 31 May. To keep moving in this direction, authorities and the opposition should build consensus on how to run future voting and how to make the government more inclusive.

Podcast / Africa

Eastern Africa’s Jihadis: The Roots

This special mini-series of Crisis Group’s The Horn explores jihadism along the Swahili coast. In this first episode, Alan Boswell talks to Ngala Chome ​​about the history of militant ideologies in Eastern Africa and how states can better address their growing threat.

Q&A / Africa

The Dangerous Expansion of Ethiopia’s Tigray War

A rapidly escalating conflict has pushed Africa’s second most populous country to the edge. In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert William Davison explains why the main protagonists urgently need to strike a deal to avert a downward spiral toward state collapse.

Podcast / Africa

Behind the Front Lines in Ethiopia’s Tigray

This week on The Horn, Alan Boswell talks to Declan Walsh, Chief Africa Correspondent for The New York Times, about the dramatic events he witnessed firsthand in Ethiopia’s Tigray war. 

Podcast / Africa

Does a Better Decade Lie Ahead for South Sudan?

This week on The Horn, Alan Boswell welcomes Dr. Luka Biong Deng Kuol, a South Sudanese former minister and academic, to reflect on South Sudan’s trajectory since achieving independence ten years ago and whether it can still change course toward a more stable future.

Our People

Grace Njuguna

HR Officer and Office Manager

Zakaria Yusuf

Analyst, Somalia

Murithi Mutiga

Project Director, Horn of Africa
mutigam

Alan Boswell

Senior Analyst, South Sudan
alanboswell

William Davison

Senior Analyst, Ethiopia
wdavison10

Meron Elias

Researcher, Horn of Africa
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Jonas Horner

Deputy Project Director, Horn of Africa & Senior Analyst, Sudan

Omar Mahmood

Senior Analyst, Somalia
omarsmahmood