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Horn of Africa

CrisisWatch Horn of Africa

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

View latest updates

Trends for Last Month January 2017

Deteriorated Situations

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Improved Situations

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Outlook for This Month February 2017

Conflict Risk Alerts

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Resolution Opportunities

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Reports & Briefings

In The News

16 Feb 2017
If [Somalia's new president Mohamed Abdullahi] wants to re-adjust the relationship between Somalia and Ethiopia, he has to be very careful. If he uses the old anti-Ethiopia rhetoric, he is going to quickly run into trouble. AFP

Rashid Abdi

Project Director, Horn of Africa
9 Feb 2017
If I were to advise [the new Somali president], I will tell him to go slow in relation with [Ethiopia and Kenya] and to build new bridges.They ultimately have collective, strategic interest working together to stabilize Somalia. VOA

Rashid Abdi

Project Director, Horn of Africa
8 Feb 2017
[President Trump's] travel restrictions will complicate U.S. security cooperation in the Horn of Africa. It will be a big boon for al-Shabab recruiting efforts. All Africa

Rashid Abdi

Project Director, Horn of Africa
13 Jan 2017
On the migration issue in particular, the international community now wants to work with Sudan and it is felt that isolation has not helped come up with solutions. The Guardian

Magnus Taylor

Analyst, Horn of Africa
8 Jan 2017
If a governor is seen as a good performer [in Kenya] then that could be a ticket to national-level politics. Financial Times

Abdullahi Abdille

Researcher, Horn of Africa
3 Dec 2016
There are weapons everywhere [in Sudan] and a limited capacity or willingness to do anything about it. The Economist

Magnus Taylor

Analyst, Horn of Africa

Latest Updates

Commentary / Africa

Ethiopia Must Continue to Help Stabilise South Sudan

Addis Ababa can win economic and security gains if it perseveres with its impressive commitment to peace efforts in South Sudan. With its new two-year membership on the UN Security Council, Addis Ababa has the opportunity to better connect regionally-led political processes to UN action. 

Op-Ed / Africa

It’s in Uganda’s Interest to Keep Supporting South Sudan Peace Efforts

President Museveni will naturally defend Uganda’s short-term interests, but he should also work towards longer-term stability by supporting President Salva Kiir’s pledge to bring peace through ARCSS implementation, negotiations and national dialogue.

Originally published in Daily Monitor

Forced out of Towns in the Sahel, Africa’s Jihadists Go Rural

Jihadist groups have regrouped in the neglected hinterlands of Sahel countries and are launching attacks from them. To regain control of outlying districts, regional states must do far more to extend services and representation beyond recently recaptured provincial centres.

Op-Ed / Africa

Sudan Protests: Why It’s In The Government’s Interests To Respond With Restraint

Public discontent and protests against price rises for pharmaceuticals and fuel have been spreading in Sudan. Khartoum should avoid reacting harshly, and build on its recent relative successes toward a better-balanced budget, resolving internal conflicts and international acceptance.

Originally published in African Arguments

Our People

Rashid Abdi

Project Director, Horn of Africa
RAbdiCG

Abdullahi Abdille

Researcher, Horn of Africa
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Grace Njuguna

Office Manager, Horn of Africa

Magnus Taylor

Analyst, Horn of Africa

Zakaria Yusuf

Analyst, Somalia

Claire Elder

Consulting Analyst, Horn of Africa