icon caret Arrow Down Arrow Left Arrow Right Arrow Up Line Camera icon set icon set Ellipsis icon set Facebook Favorite Globe Hamburger List Mail Map Marker Map Microphone Minus PDF Play Print RSS Search Share Trash Crisiswatch Alerts and Trends Box - 1080/761 Copy Twitter Video Camera  copyview Whatsapp Youtube

Horn of Africa

CrisisWatch
Conflict Tracker Horn of Africa
View Latest Edition

Trends for Last Month May 2021

Deteriorated Situations

South Sudan

Improved Situations

none

Outlook for This Month June 2021

Conflict Risk Alerts

none

Resolution Opportunities

none

Contributor

Interim President
atwoodr

In his monthly take ahead of CrisisWatch, Interim President Richard Atwood looks at recent diplomacy in the Middle East and prospects for assuaging two of the rivalries that have fuelled Arab wars over the past decade.

Read President's Take

Reports & Briefings

In The News

27 May 2021
Through these specific talks [in Somalia], Farmajo really didn’t play much of a role, but that doesn’t mean that he permanently is sitting out the campaign period. The Washington Post

Omar Mahmood

Senior Analyst, Somalia
27 Apr 2021
Any sort of miscalculation could happen [in Somalia]. It just takes one trigger-happy soldier to fire on the other side, and that's going to erupt those dynamics. AFP

Omar Mahmood

Senior Analyst, Somalia
8 Apr 2021
[Somalia’s election impasse] comes down to unresolved internal political tensions, but also a lack of preparation and political will. The Guardian

Omar Mahmood

Senior Analyst, Somalia
12 Dec 2020
Because of improving relations, the Eritrean government has gained more ability to influence the Ethiopian government not to be a host for dissidents. AFP

William Davison

Senior Analyst, Ethiopia
6 Oct 2020
The military [...] simply has not had the time nor shown the will to address violence in the way that many rural Sudanese would need to see in order to put down their weapons. AFP

Jonas Horner

Deputy Project Director, Horn of Africa & Senior Analyst, Sudan
1 Oct 2020
Sudan’s economy is in freefall and there has been limited international assistance. Al-Jazeera

Jonas Horner

Deputy Project Director, Horn of Africa & Senior Analyst, Sudan

Latest Updates

The U.S. War on Terror in Somalia: How to End an Endless War

Online Event to discuss Vice News' recent documentary "Inside the U.S. War on Terror in Somalia", with input on the situation from Crisis Group's interim Vice President, Comfort Ero, and interim Chief of Policy, Steve Pomper.

Podcast / Africa

Somalia’s Dangerous Impasse

This week on The Horn, Alan Boswell is joined by Mohamed Mubarak, a political and security analyst, to talk about the ongoing political crisis in Somalia, fighting in Mogadishu, and the long-term implications of the current impasse.

Q&A / Africa

Why Somalia’s Electoral Crisis Has Tipped into Violence

After months of deadlocked talks over elections, the streets of Mogadishu on 25 April witnessed heavy fighting between rival army units. In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert Omar Mahmood examines the factors that triggered the latest violence – and explores ways to calm the waters.

Podcast / Africa

Inside the Region’s Struggle for Peace in South Sudan

This week on The Horn, Alan Boswell is joined by Betty Bigombe, Uganda’s special envoy to South Sudan, to discuss the South Sudan peace deal, why it has not been fully implemented yet and how regional mediation needs more South Sudanese participants.

Statement / Africa

Somalia: Averting a Descent into Political Violence

Tensions are running high following the Somali parliament’s decision to extend the incumbent president’s mandate by two years. External partners should urgently convene – and mediate – talks among the country’s bitterly divided elites, to prevent its worst political crisis in years from escalating.

Our People

Grace Njuguna

HR Officer and Office Manager

Zakaria Yusuf

Analyst, Somalia

Murithi Mutiga

Project Director, Horn of Africa
mutigam

Alan Boswell

Senior Analyst, South Sudan
alanboswell

William Davison

Senior Analyst, Ethiopia
wdavison10

Meron Elias

Researcher, Horn of Africa
Meron_El

Jonas Horner

Deputy Project Director, Horn of Africa & Senior Analyst, Sudan

Omar Mahmood

Senior Analyst, Somalia
omarsmahmood