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Algeria

In addition to a looming succession crisis, Algeria faces multiple political, economic and social challenges. President Abdelaziz Bouteflika has ruled the country without contest since 1999 but has been gravely ill since a stroke in 2014. With no clear heir, his succession could be troubled and worsen Algeria’s ability to tackle mounting economic challenges as oil income dwindles. This would deprive the wider region – particularly the Sahel – of an important stabilising presence. Through fieldwork in Algeria and engagement with senior officials, Crisis Group works to increase the likelihood of peaceful political transition and enhance Algeria’s contribution to stability and conflict resolution in a troubled neighbourhood.

CrisisWatch Algeria

Unchanged Situation

Security forces’ harsh crackdown on protest movement appeared to ease late Oct, as govt continued to prepare for presidential election in Dec despite significant opposition. In capital Algiers and other major cities, tens of thousands continued to demonstrate every Friday, demanding army quit politics, purge of ruling elite, end to corruption, release of imprisoned opposition and civil society leaders and rejecting presidential election planned for 12 Dec. Police 4 Oct arrested five members of human rights organisation Rassemblement Action Jeunesse (RAJ) in Algiers; after sit-in protest in Algiers 10 Oct demanding their release, police arrested RAJ president Abdelwahab Fersaoui. Police 8 Oct for first time harassed and tried to stop students’ weekly demonstration in Algiers. Army chief of staff Gaïd Salah 15 Oct accused some protesters to be paid by dirty money. Hundreds protested at parliament building 13 Oct against proposed legal and fiscal framework for oil sector, which they said caretaker govt has no legitimacy to pass and gives privileges to foreign companies. Opposition parties criticised lack of opposition representation in electoral body created early Sept. Nineteen personalities including former FM Brahimi 15 Oct launched new dialogue initiative.

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Reports & Briefings

In The News

5 Mar 2019
The army and intelligence services [in Algeria] are still important but not as an autonomous pole of power. Financial Times

Hannah Armstrong

Consulting Analyst, Sahel
1 Mar 2019
Protests in Algeria are not about rule by one man but a system. One that has empowered a business class with close links to the state while progressively stifling economic and political liberties and excluding an earnest, educated youth. Twitter

Hannah Armstrong

Consulting Analyst, Sahel

Latest Updates

The Youth Movement in Sahrawi Refugee Camps

Refugee camps in Tindouf, Algeria, have long been run by the Polisario movement, which seeks an independent state in Western Sahara, also claimed by Morocco. But a new generation of Sahrawi refugees is growing fractious as aid dwindles and diplomatic efforts fail to deliver a settlement.

Algeria and Its Neighbours

Algeria has emerged as an indispensable broker of stability in North Africa and the Sahel. But, especially as it enters a generational transition in domestic politics, it needs better strategies to deal with financial pressures, a neighbourhood in turmoil, cross-border jihadi threats, and ongoing tensions with France and Morocco. It should also resolve a presidential succession that is paralysing institutions.

Also available in العربية, Français
Op-Ed / Africa

Comment sauver le Sahel

Originally published in Slate Afrique

Islamism, Violence and Reform in Algeria: Turning the Page

This is the third of a series of briefings and reports on Islamism in North Africa. The first provided general background on the range and diversity of Islamic activism in the region, and subsequent papers examine with respect to particular states, the outlook and strategies of the main Islamist movements and organisations, their relations with the state and each other and how they have evolved. The analysis focuses on the relationship between Islamic activism and violence, especially but not only terrorism and the problem of political reform in general and democratisation in particular.

Also available in العربية, Français

Islamism in North Africa I: The Legacies of History

Islamism, terrorism, reform: the triangle formed by these three concepts and the complex and changeable realities to which they refer is at the centre of political debate in and about North Africa today.