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Gulf and Arabian Peninsula

CrisisWatch Gulf and Arabian Peninsula

CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, a tool designed to help decision-makers prevent deadly violence by keeping them up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace.

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Trends for Last Month September 2018

Deteriorated Situations

Yemen

Improved Situations

none

Outlook for This Month October 2018

Conflict Risk Alerts

Yemen

Resolution Opportunities

Yemen

President's Take

As Acute Conflict Risks Rise, UN General Assembly Hears Calls for Multilateral Action

Contributor

President & CEO
Rob_Malley

After a week at the UN General Assembly meetings in New York, our president Robert Malley highlights the world's most worrying conflicts detailed in this month's CrisisWatch, and the important role that multilateral organisations play in helping resolve them. 

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Reports & Briefings

In The News

17 Oct 2018
Secretary Pompeo was put in an almost impossible situation from the outset: traveling to meet with people [in Saudi Arabia] suspected of having ordered a political assassination at the request of a president determined to sweep the affair under the rug. The New York Times

Robert Malley

President & CEO
10 Oct 2018
Although from a distance the U.S.-Saudi relationship appears rock solid, there are cracks in the foundation. The New York Times

Robert Malley

President & CEO
7 Oct 2018
The notion that Iran is going to be asked to leave [Syria] or be forced out in the foreseeable future is illusory. Iran has been the Assad regime’s longest, most consistent and reliable ally. The Arab Weekly

Robert Malley

President & CEO
3 Oct 2018
By escalating tensions and forfeiting diplomacy [with Iran, the Trump administration] risks putting us on a path toward conflict in the Middle East. The New York Times

Robert Malley

President & CEO
25 Sep 2018
The emphasis on coercion and pressure may find a receptive audience among U.S. regional allies, but is hardly going to lure the Iranians back to the table. Lowering tensions between Tehran and Washington is critical - but insults make any accommodation a less likely proposition. AFP

Ali Vaez

Project Director, Iran
23 Sep 2018
The UAE has positioned itself as a major potential investor in logistics, ports, and trade development [in the Horn of Africa.] Deutsche Welle

Elizabeth Dickinson

Senior Analyst, Arabian Peninsula

Latest Updates

Q&A / Middle East & North Africa

Iraqi Kurdistan’s Regional Elections Test a Brittle Status Quo

The fallout continues to settle after Iraqi Kurdistan’s fraught independence referendum one year ago. In this Q&A, our Iraq Senior Adviser Maria Fantappie surveys the political landscape ahead of the first regional legislative elections since the plebiscite.

Op-Ed / United States

Trump’s Refugee Fiasco

The administration just slashed the number of refugees the U.S. will admit to a record low. Its reasoning doesn’t pass the laugh test.

Originally published in Politico

Is the Yemen Peace Process Coming Back to Life?

The UN special envoy to Yemen has invited the principal parties in the country’s civil war to Geneva for “consultations”. With the war rapidly approaching its fifth year, Crisis Group Consultant Peter Salisbury explains why any such Geneva talks are important and what should happen next.

How to Cope with Iraq’s Summer Brushfire

In July protests against inadequate supplies of jobs, water and electricity swept across southern Iraq, reaching Baghdad. The ruling elites should heed demonstrators’ calls to improve public services and stamp out corruption – or risk reigniting popular discontent and tempting would-be strongmen to step in.

Our People

Maria Fantappie

Consulting Senior Analyst, Iraq

Ali Vaez

Project Director, Iran
AliVaez

Naysan Rafati

Analyst, Iran

Elizabeth Dickinson

Senior Analyst, Arabian Peninsula
dickinsonbeth