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Gulf and Arabian Peninsula

CrisisWatch Gulf and Arabian Peninsula

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

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Trends for Last Month March 2017

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Outlook for This Month April 2017

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Reports & Briefings

In The News

26 Apr 2017
American officials habitually discuss the issue [of U.S. prisoners] with their Iranian counterparts on the sidelines of nuclear-related meetings, but [their] fate is not in the hands of foreign ministry officials. Los Angeles Times

Ali Vaez

Senior Analyst, Iran
25 Apr 2017
What we don’t know is how much control will be extended over the Rapid Support Forces [who have been deployed to Yemen by Sudan]. IRIN News

Magnus Taylor

Analyst, Horn of Africa
20 Apr 2017
Iran's strategy in Iraq is a policy of divide and rule. Kurdish society is very divided at the moment and Iran has a chance to exploit those divisions. Al-Monitor

Joost Hiltermann

Program Director, Middle East and North Africa
19 Apr 2017
Both the administration and Congress have realized that killing a deal [with Iran] would put the United States in a weaker, not stronger, position to reshape Iran’s regional policies. Al-Monitor

Ali Vaez

Senior Analyst, Iran
12 Apr 2017
Ahmadinejad knows full well that his candidacy is an affront to Khamenei who had publicly barred him from running. Disqualifying Ahmadinejad is hard, but not impossible. Reuters

Ali Vaez

Senior Analyst, Iran
5 Apr 2017
[The Trump administration's] hostile posture toward Iran, combined with incoming congressional sanctions, could eventually erode the nuclear accord. The Wall Street Journal

Ali Vaez

Senior Analyst, Iran

Latest Updates

How All Sides of Yemen’s War Are Weaponising Hunger and Creating a Famine

With the world's largest hunger crisis, Yemen sits precariously on the brink of famine. Avoiding it will require all warring parties to desist from weaponising Yemen's increasingly fragile economy and return to the negotiating table.

Originally published in World Politics Review

Statement / Global

Instruments of Pain: Conflict and Famine

For the first time in three decades, four countries, driven by war, verge on famine. Over coming weeks, Crisis Group will publish special briefings on Yemen, South Sudan, Somalia and Nigeria. Each conflict requires tailored response; all need increased aid and efforts to end the violence.

Instruments of Pain (I): Conflict and Famine in Yemen

War is denying Yemenis food to eat. This special briefing, the first of four examining the famine threats there and in South Sudan, Nigeria and Somalia, urges the Saudi-led coalition not to assault Yemen’s most important port, Hodeida, and both sides to immediately resolve deadlock over the Central Bank.

Also available in العربية

Hizbollah’s Syria Conundrum

Four years after plunging into Syria’s civil war, Hizbollah has achieved its core aim of preserving the Assad regime. Yet with no clear exit strategy, the Lebanese “Party of God” faces ever greater costs unless it can lower the sectarian flames, open dialogue with non-jihadist rebel groups and help pave the way for a negotiated settlement.

Also available in فارسی, العربية

Our People

Maria Fantappie

Senior Analyst

April Longley Alley

Senior Analyst, Arabian Peninsula

Ali Vaez

Senior Analyst, Iran