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Gulf and Arabian Peninsula

CrisisWatch Gulf and Arabian Peninsula

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

View latest updates

Trends for Last Month July 2017

Deteriorated Situations

Yemen

Improved Situations

none

Outlook for This Month August 2017

Conflict Risk Alerts

Yemen

Resolution Opportunities

none

Reports & Briefings

In The News

12 Aug 2017
There is a risk that the Arabs, the Turkmen and the Shia will protest [against a referendum on Kurdish independence] and that Baghdad, backed by Iran, will send in militias or security forces. The Economist

Joost Hiltermann

Program Director, Middle East and North Africa
3 Aug 2017
President Trump made clear that, in terms of the fate of the nuclear deal, the administration’s latest certification of Iranian compliance was only a temporary reprieve – a stay of execution. The Washington Post

Robert Malley

Vice President for Policy
20 Jul 2017
Whatever Saudi Arabia's current view of the Muslim Brotherhood in other countries, in Yemen they are natural allies against the Houthi-Saleh alliance. Reuters

April Longley Alley

Senior Analyst, Arabian Peninsula
20 Jul 2017
Whatever Saudi Arabia's current view of the Muslim Brotherhood in other countries, in Yemen they are natural allies against the Houthi-Saleh alliance. Reuters

April Longley Alley

Senior Analyst, Arabian Peninsula
15 Jul 2017
The Iran-Iraq war was the formative experience for all of Iran’s leaders. From [commander of the Iranian Quds Force General Qassim] Suleimani all the way down. It was their ‘never again’ moment. The New York Times

Ali Vaez

Senior Analyst, Iran
11 Jul 2017
The questions for Saudi Arabia and the Emirates are: Was this the best way to signal their discontent? Was the decision to isolate Qatar the right one? And, perhaps most importantly ― what is the way out? Huffington Post

Robert Malley

Vice President for Policy

Latest Updates

Pressuring Qatar: What Happens in the Gulf Doesn’t Stay in the Gulf

The rift between Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates shows no sign of abating, at a time when the Middle East is increasingly polarised. In this excerpt from the Watch List 2017 – Second Update early warning report for European policy makers, Crisis Group urges the European Union and its member states to play an active role in de-escalating a crisis that could exacerbate persistent regional conflicts.

Watch List 2017 – Second Update

Crisis Group’s second update to our Watch List 2017 includes entries on Nigeria, Qatar, Thailand and Venezuela. These early-warning publications identify conflict situations in which prompt action by the European Union and its member states would generate stronger prospects for peace.

Our People

Maria Fantappie

Senior Analyst, Iraq

April Longley Alley

Senior Analyst, Arabian Peninsula

Ali Vaez

Senior Analyst, Iran
AliVaez