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South Asia

CrisisWatch South Asia

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

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Trends for Last Month November 2017

Deteriorated Situations

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Improved Situations

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Outlook for This Month December 2017

Conflict Risk Alerts

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Resolution Opportunities

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Reports & Briefings

In The News

4 Dec 2017
What distinguishes [the Taliban 'Special Forces Unit'] from other fighting units is its intensive and longer training, the degree of vetting, its tactics, weapons and equipment, and structure. Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty
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Borhan Osman

Senior Analyst, Afghanistan
1 Dec 2017
IS in Afghanistan never was such a solid, coherent organization, even from the beginning. Reuters
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Borhan Osman

Senior Analyst, Afghanistan
19 Nov 2017
[Afghanistan's minister for border and tribal affairs] Sherzai has been prone to arming people of his own tribe after he emerged as one of the most powerful men in the south after the fall of the Taliban. The Guardian
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Borhan Osman

Senior Analyst, Afghanistan
7 Nov 2017
2017 has seen a worrisome return of violence and hate speech in Sri Lanka. U.S. News

Alan Keenan

Senior Analyst, Sri Lanka
9 Aug 2017
There are lots of little initiatives under way [in Sri Lanka.] But they don't add up to a coherent or effective response to the desperate situation so many women are facing in the north and east. Reuters

Alan Keenan

Senior Analyst, Sri Lanka
19 Apr 2017
[The use of the "Mother of All Bombs" is about] sending a clear message to regional players [...] to say that the U.S. is ready to take action and utilize necessary force. Foreign Policy

Timor Sharan

Former Senior Analyst, Afghanistan

Latest Updates

Report / Asia

Myanmar’s Rohingya Crisis Enters a Dangerous New Phase

The mass flight of Rohingya Muslims from Myanmar’s Rakhine State has created a humanitarian catastrophe and serious security risks, including potential cross-border militant attacks. The international community should press the Myanmar government to urgently implement the Annan commission’s proposals, including as regards discrimination, segregation and citizenship.

Op-Ed / Global

The International Criminal Court’s Case Against the United States in Afghanistan

In recent years, a confrontation between the U.S. government and the International Criminal Court (ICC) has been looming over the alleged actions of U.S. forces in Afghanistan. Crisis Group's U.S. Program Director Stephen Pomper unpicks the unique U.S.-ICC relationship and outlines the choices left open to Washington.

Originally published in Just Security

Video / Asia

Addressing Security Concerns to Advance Gender Equality in Pakistan

Addressing security concerns in Pakistan is vital for creating a more gender equal society. In this video, Crisis Group's South Asia Project Director Samina Ahmed highlights the need for measures geared toward enabling women to become more economically independent, such as safer public transport and a more gender-sensitive police force.

Report / Asia

Sri Lanka’s Transition to Nowhere

Fragile hopes for lasting peace and cooperation across party and ethnic lines are imperilled. To avoid leaders of the corrupt and violent former regime taking back control of the country, President Sirisena’s two-year-old “unity government” should put aside short-term calculations and return to reform.

Commentary / Asia

Afghanistan: Growing Challenges

Political fractures continue to weaken the Afghan National Unity Government as the Taliban insurgency expands and an Islamic State affiliate strengthens its foothold. In this excerpt from the Watch List 2017 – First Update early-warning report for European policy makers, Crisis Group urges the European Union and its member states to continue to provide technical support to the negotiating process and take measures to alleviate the humanitarian crisis.

Our People

Samina Ahmed

Project Director, South Asia and Senior Asia Adviser

Zaib Barlas

Former Operations Manager, Pakistan

Shehryar Fazli

Senior Analyst and Regional Editor, South Asia

Alan Keenan

Senior Analyst, Sri Lanka
akeenan23

Timor Sharan

Former Senior Analyst, Afghanistan
timorsharan

Borhan Osman

Senior Analyst, Afghanistan
Borhan