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Relaunching Negotiations over Western Sahara

The fighting in Western Sahara, which broke out again in November 2020, remains of low intensity. Yet outside powers would be wrong to assume that it will not escalate. With U.S. support, the new UN envoy should pursue confidence-building measures that could facilitate negotiations.

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Trends for Last Month September 2021

Deteriorated Situations

BurundiSomaliaSudanGuineaYemenLibya

Improved Situations

Lebanon

Outlook for This Month October 2021

Conflict Risk Alerts

CameroonSomaliaSudanYemen

Resolution Opportunities

none

Gender and Conflict

Learn more about this topic

For an International Women’s Day special episode of Hold Your Fire!, Naz Modirzadeh and Richard Atwood talk to Azadeh Moaveni, Crisis Group’s gender and conflict expert, about the Women, Peace and Security agenda and Crisis Group’s work on gender and conflict.

In The News

13 Oct 2021
Given the current situation [in Ethiopia] and the likelihood of continued fighting, particularly in the Amhara region, I think we are likely to see the U.S. implement targeted sanctions soon. The National

William Davison

Senior Analyst, Ethiopia
7 Oct 2021
[Shiite Muslim cleric] Sadr has been selling himself as a viable option, and a central one in Iraqi politics. Washington Post

Lahib Higel

Senior Analyst, Iraq
1 Oct 2021
Much of the population [of Myanmar] is determined to prevent a return to military rule, at the cost of their lives if necessary. AFP

Richard Horsey

Senior Adviser, Myanmar
24 Sep 2021
If anything, it is amazing how little the pandemic has affected the fighting [in Yemen]. The New York Times

Peter Salisbury

Senior Analyst, Yemen
22 Sep 2021
[Iranian President] Raisi’s harsh denunciation of the United States doesn’t suggest that Iran is prepared to demonstrate the kind of flexibility that is needed to restore the JCPOA. The National

Ali Vaez

Senior Adviser to the President & Project Director, Iran
17 Sep 2021
Many people in Myanmar struggle to see how nonviolence can be effective in a situation where the regime is willing to unleash extraordinary levels of violence against ordinary people. LA Times

Richard Horsey

Senior Adviser, Myanmar

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