The August bombings in seven of Thailand's tourist towns portend a wider conflict, while the peace dialogue process has lost momentum. To get back on track, fragmented militants must end doubtful hopes of victory through violence, and the government must commit to a comprehensive settlement, including decentralisation and respect for the deep south’s Malay-Muslim identity.
A record 65 million people have been displaced from their homes, mostly by war. Half are children. Crisis Group looks at the UN’s list of the top ten countries driving the exodus to explain what’s happened.
What is counter-productive is to give false hopes, to give the impression to Syrians that peace is around the corner.
The Afghan government's rationale for reaching a peace deal with [Gulbuddin Hekmatyar] is aimed at encouraging other insurgent groups to join the negotiation process.
Maintenant qu'il a validé le plus vaste programme d'assistance jamais offert par les États-Unis, Obama peut se sentir libre de prendre des décisions susceptibles de déplaire à Israël.
Yemen is arguably the worst humanitarian crisis in the region with over 21 million in need of assistance. The longer the fighting continues, the more difficult it will be for any government to pick up the pieces.
[General Haftar] can pitch himself as the man who liberated the oil terminals. Even his detractors will be happy with that and will recognise – if this does actually work out – that this was a good move.
It is clear Mugabe's capacities have diminished significantly, his ability to hold things together is doubtful. I don't think [he] has faced this kind of pressure before.
CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.
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The Islamic State, al-Qaeda-linked groups, Boko Haram and other extremist movements are protagonists in today’s deadliest crises, complicating efforts to end them. They have exploited wars, state collapse and geopolitical upheaval in the Middle East, gained new footholds in Africa and pose an evolving threat elsewhere. Reversing their gains requires avoiding the mistakes that enabled their rise.
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In a troubled region, Burkina Faso is a rare example of religious diversity and tolerance. But a perceived discrepancy between a significant number of Muslims and their low level of public representation has created tensions. To safeguard Burkina’s model of peaceful coexistence, the government must address this sensitive issue through careful reforms, particularly in the education system.
Two years ago, the Cameroonian government declared war on Boko Haram. Despite some progress, the group’s violent impact is still seen and felt deeply in the remote north of the country.
Originally published in Inside Story
Philippines President Rodrigo Duterte has put his weight unequivocally behind efforts to bring a negotiated end to more than four decades of conflict in the south of the country, but uncertainty is bleeding momentum from the process and the clock is ticking.
Originally published in The Interpreter
Events on the ground will determine whether the Havana signing was just a photo finish or the start of long-term reforms.
Originally published in Newsweek