As NATO prepares for its 2026 summit, European members’ immediate concerns centre less on what to do about Ukraine than on whether the U.S. president might spoil the intended show of unity. In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert Olga Oliker previews the alliance’s annual gathering.
The Somali government’s battle with Al-Shabaab militants grinds on, with neither able to gain a decisive advantage. To improve its lot, Mogadishu needs to bolster its military and alleviate civilian suffering in areas under insurgent control, while looking for openings for dialogue with the group.
Israel has been steadily altering the West Bank’s human and physical landscape since it first occupied the territory in 1967. As Crisis Group expert Joost Hiltermann found, it now controls Palestinians’ freedom of movement to an unprecedented degree, with ruinous socio-economic effects.
Crisis Group expert Lahib Higel analyses the Iraqi government’s anti-corruption campaign, which saw dozens of senior officials arrested over the past weekend
CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, an early warning tool designed to help prevent deadly violence. It keeps decision-makers up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises every month, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace. In addition, CrisisWatch monitors over 50 situations (“standby monitoring”) to offer timely information if developments indicate a drift toward violence or instability. Entries dating back to 2003 provide easily searchable conflict histories. Building on our global conflict tracker, On the Horizon sounds the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate over the next three to six months in support of global conflict prevention efforts.
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Iran
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If a final deal is achieved then Iran-U.S. relations would fundamentally change.
An official state visit hosted by Xi Jinping is a visible signal that China is prepared to deal with Myanmar's new administration as a full partner.
It’s in every state’s interest to have a final [Iran] deal ratified by the Security Council.
The U.S. wants Hormuz reopened and Iran wants tangible economic reprieve. The MoU can help them stabilise the situation and buy time.
For Xi Jinping to be the one who decides to travel to Pyongyang, it shows the level of significance that China attaches to this trip.
Unlike previous rounds of [U.S.-Iran] negotiations, which focused primarily on Iran’s nuclear programme, the war has brought the Strait of Hormuz to the forefront.
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