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Eastern Europe

CrisisWatch
Conflict Tracker Eastern Europe
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Trends for Last Month December 2021

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Outlook for This Month January 2022

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Ukraine

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Reports & Briefings

In The News

22 Jan 2022
For Russia, what it sees as Western encroachment into Ukraine is a very big part of how the West has been weakening Russia, and infringing on a security interest for all of this time. Vox

Olga Oliker

Program Director, Europe and Central Asia
14 Jan 2022
Russia wants to see Ukraine not as a neutral country, but more like a friendly country. Al Jazeera

Oleg Ignatov

Senior Analyst, Russia
1 Sep 2021
For the Ukrainians, especially in the wake of the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, they want a clear statement of support from the United States. VOA

Olga Oliker

Program Director, Europe and Central Asia
28 Jul 2021
Ukraine doesn’t have a lot of equal relationships. This is the danger of being a weaker country in the international system. RFE/RL

Olga Oliker

Program Director, Europe and Central Asia
13 Apr 2021
If you want to say you’re going to defend Ukraine, say you’re going to defend Ukraine, [NATO] membership or no membership. Foreign Policy

Olga Oliker

Program Director, Europe and Central Asia
6 Apr 2021
This doesn’t necessarily mean there will be a major escalation [between Ukraine and Russia]. But we should still be worried because it’s a symptom of the deadlock in the peace process. Bloomberg

Katharine Quinn-Judge

Consulting Senior Analyst, Ukraine

Latest Updates

Event Recording / Global

EU Watch List: 10 Cases Where the EU can Build Peace in 2022 (Online Event, 28th January 2022)

Crisis Group’s Watch List identifies ten countries or regions at risk of deadly conflict or escalation thereof in 2022. In these places, early action, driven or supported by the EU and its member states, could enhance prospects for peace and stability.

Q&A / Europe & Central Asia

Behind the Frictions at the Belarus-Poland Border

Thousands of people looking to enter the European Union have massed at the Belarusian frontier with Poland. In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert Oleg Ignatov explains how the events relate to tensions between Belarus and its ally, Russia, on one side, and Western governments on the other.

Visualising the Dynamics of Combat and Negotiations in Donbas

Efforts to bring peace to Ukraine’s Donbas region have been deadlocked for years. The steps the belligerents take to de-escalate violence can save lives, but people still die on the front lines and beyond. Crisis Group’s new visual explainer puts these dynamics in stark relief.

Enhancing Prospects for Peace in Ukraine

EU-Russia ties are frostier than ever. In this excerpt from the Watch List 2021 – Spring Update, Crisis Group urges the EU and its member states to forge consensus with the U.S. and UK on responses to any threats, or evidence, of Russian attacks on Ukraine, and to work with the U.S. on breaking the impasse in talks.

EU Watch List / Global

Watch List 2021 – Spring Update

Every year Crisis Group publishes two additional Watch List updates that complement its annual Watch List for the EU, most recently published in January 2021. These publications identify major crises and conflict situations where the European Union and its member states can generate stronger prospects for peace. The Spring Update of the Watch List 2021 includes entries on Bolivia, Myanmar, Nigeria, Ukraine and Yemen.

Our People

Katharine Quinn-Judge

Consulting Senior Analyst, Ukraine
kquinnjudge