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North East Asia

CrisisWatch North East Asia

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

View latest updates

Trends for Last Month July 2017

Deteriorated Situations

Korean Peninsula

Improved Situations

none

Outlook for This Month August 2017

Conflict Risk Alerts

none

Resolution Opportunities

none

Reports & Briefings

In The News

10 Aug 2017
[Frustration] has created space for a wider policy debate in China, between those who think China has to stand behind North Korea and those who call for abandoning it and cooperating more with the U.S. The Washington Post

Michael Kovrig

Senior Adviser, North East Asia
10 Aug 2017
[Frustration] has created space for a wider policy debate in China, between those who think China has to stand behind North Korea and those who call for abandoning it and cooperating more with the U.S. The Washington Post

Michael Kovrig

Senior Adviser, North East Asia
2 Aug 2017
North Korea’s regime likely sees a nuclear deterrent as essential for its survival, and probably would be willing and able to suffer through extreme hardship without budging. Bloomberg

Michael Kovrig

Senior Adviser, North East Asia
6 Jul 2017
Chinese analysts continue to argue that no amount of pressure, short of what might cause a collapse, will bring North Korea to denuclearize. The Washington Post

Michael Kovrig

Senior Adviser, North East Asia
6 Jul 2017
Chinese analysts continue to argue that no amount of pressure, short of what might cause a collapse, will bring North Korea to denuclearize. The Washington Post

Michael Kovrig

Senior Adviser, North East Asia
15 May 2017
China is putting a lot of capital and institutional effort behind the Belt and Road. But it’s not going to reshape Asia in a few years. It will take a couple of decades to assess the impact, if China sticks with it. The Washington Post

Michael Kovrig

Senior Adviser, North East Asia

Latest Updates

Central Asia’s Silk Road Rivalries

China and Russia's separate visions for Central Asia could transform the region’s political and economic landscape as well as relations between the two Eurasian giants. To the smaller, embryonic Central Asian nation states, the new geopolitical realities could offer both economic prosperity as well as worsening instability and conflict.

Commentary / Asia

North Korea Must Apologise for American Tourist Warmbier’s Death

A public apology for death of American tourist Otto Warmbier is the best way for North Korea to show it did not plan this tragedy, keep over-zealous public security officials in line and improve the chances of any dialogue with the outside world.

Commentary / Asia

South Korean Elections Sidestep Rising Peninsula Tensions

North Korea’s nuclear grandstanding and inflammatory missile tests, President Trump’s anti-Pyongyang rhetoric and U.S. missile deployments have raised tensions in North East Asia. Our Senior Advisor for the Korean Peninsula Christopher Green looks at where South Korea’s 9 May presidential election fits into these newly complex dynamics.

Op-Ed / Asia

The Philippines' Misguided Plan to Stop South China Sea Tensions

Cooperating on oil won't work - but fishing might.

Originally published in The National Interest

Op-Ed / Asia

Avoiding a Military Showdown in the South China Sea

The Hague’s looming decision on a Filipino challenge to Chinese claims could reverse the region’s collision course.

Originally published in The Wall Street Journal

Our People

Michael Kovrig

Senior Adviser, North East Asia
MichaelKovrig

Christopher Green

Senior Advisor, Korean Peninsula