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North Africa

CrisisWatch North Africa

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

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Trends for Last Month September 2017

Deteriorated Situations

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Improved Situations

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Outlook for This Month October 2017

Conflict Risk Alerts

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Resolution Opportunities

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Reports & Briefings

In The News

24 Sep 2017
[A U.S. military] strike [against ISIS positions in Libya] seems to indicate Libya is mainly an anti-terrorism file and only subsequently a political file [for the U.S. government]. The Washington Post

Claudia Gazzini

Senior Analyst, Libya
19 Sep 2017
Now the problem is that those [political] factions [across Libya] have fragmented internally. It's even more difficult to solicit representative views. Reuters

Claudia Gazzini

Senior Analyst, Libya
9 Sep 2017
The smuggling business [in Libya] is a business. It’s all about money. The Economist

Claudia Gazzini

Senior Analyst, Libya
24 Aug 2017
If [the U.S. decision to suspend economic and military aid to Egypt is] intended as a signal to Sisi's regime, it will have limited impact on [his] behaviour. Al Jazeera

Issandr El Amrani

Project Director, North Africa
22 Aug 2017
Morocco has been very successful at driving deep underground any major al-Qaeda or Isis group. Moroccan jihadis have largely gone to fight abroad, rather than stay at home. Financial Times

Issandr El Amrani

Project Director, North Africa
19 Aug 2017
What’s astounding is that an attack like [the one in Barcelona] hasn’t taken place inside Morocco. The New York Times

Issandr El Amrani

Project Director, North Africa

Latest Updates

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Tunisia has struggled to stay on track during the turmoil of the Arab uprisings. A dedicated Tunisia analyst, unique field work and privileged access to influential actors helps Crisis Group play a leading role in shaping policies to ensure the country’s democratic transition stays peaceful.

Also available in Français

Fixing Libya's Economy Essential to Curb Migrant Flows

A recent dramatic decrease in migrants reaching Europe may be partly explained by payoffs to armed groups in Libya. In this video, Crisis Group’s Senior Analyst for Libya, Claudia Gazzini, warns of the risks associated with short-term solutions to the flow of migrants reaching Europe through Libya.

Quick Fixes Won’t Block Libya’s People Smugglers for Long

A recent dramatic decrease in migrants reaching Europe may be partly explained by payoffs to armed groups in Libya. In this Q&A, Crisis Group’s Senior Analyst for Libya, Claudia Gazzini, warns about the risks associated with this policy, arguing that while working with armed groups may be necessary in the short term, any durable solution requires putting Libya’s economy and politics back on track.

How Libya’s Fezzan Became Europe’s New Border

The principal gateway into Europe for refugees and migrants runs through the power vacuum in southern Libya’s Fezzan region. Any effort by European policymakers to stabilise Fezzan must be part of a national-level strategy aimed at developing Libya’s licit economy and reaching political normalisation.

Also available in العربية

Our People

Issandr El Amrani

Project Director, North Africa
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Michaël Béchir Ayari

Senior Analyst, Tunisia

Claudia Gazzini

Senior Analyst, Libya
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