Arrow Left Arrow Right Camera icon set icon set Ellipsis icon set Facebook Favorite Globe Hamburger List Mail Map Marker Map Microphone Minus PDF Play Print RSS Search Share Trash Twitter Video Camera Youtube

North Africa

CrisisWatch North Africa

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

View latest updates

Trends for Last Month January 2017

Deteriorated Situations

none

Improved Situations

none

Outlook for This Month February 2017

Conflict Risk Alerts

none

Resolution Opportunities

none

Reports & Briefings

In The News

16 Feb 2017
The deep state is not official institutions rebelling [but] shadowy networks within those institutions, and within business, who are conspiring together and forming parallel state institutions. The New York Times

Issandr El Amrani

Project Director, North Africa
15 Feb 2017
Whether or not this state of suspended animation marks the beginning of Libya as a 'failed state' depends primarily on its economic standing. AFP

Claudia Gazzini

Senior Analyst, Libya
10 Feb 2017
Morocco wants to become the intersection point between the West and West Africa. Al Monitor

Issandr El Amrani

Project Director, North Africa
27 Dec 2016
The negotiations [over Libyan oil fields] take multiple groups and multiple actors to move things. It’s still a very fragile oil and gas structure. Reuters

Claudia Gazzini

Senior Analyst, Libya
17 Dec 2016
Amid the uncertainty around the US presidential transition, both sides [in Libya's conflict] risk overestimating their strength and foreign backing. BBC News

Claudia Gazzini

Senior Analyst, Libya
7 Dec 2016
The retaking of Sirte is certainly a negative blow to Islamic State affiliates in Libya because they will no longer have a territorial stronghold in the country. The Washington Post

Claudia Gazzini

Senior Analyst, Libya

Latest Updates

The Libyan Political Agreement: Time for a Reset

The UN-brokered peace process in Libya has stalled, leaving unresolved pressing issues like worsening living conditions, control of oil facilities, people-smuggling, and the struggle against jihadist groups. New negotiations are needed to engage key actors who have been excluded so far.

Also available in العربية

After Libya’s Oil Grab, Compromise Could Lead to a Restart of Exports

The seizure of Libya’s main pre-2013 oil terminals by an opposition force is a blow to the authority of Libya’s fledgling UN-backed Presidency Council. But smart compromises might help restart the flow of oil, as Crisis Group’s Senior Libya analyst Claudia Gazzini explains in this Q&A.

Our People

Issandr El Amrani

Project Director, North Africa
boumilo

Michaël Béchir Ayari

Senior Analyst, Tunisia

Claudia Gazzini

Senior Analyst, Libya
claudiagazzini