The Economics of Conflict (EoC) initiative explores the economic forces behind political violence. Building on years of Crisis Group reporting on economic topics, this effort integrates economic expertise, new data sources and quantitative analysis to complement our traditional fieldwork approach, reach new audiences and deepen our impact. The EoC initiative collaborates with the Empirical Studies of Conflict Project, a network of political scientists and economists at top U.S. universities, and was launched with a generous donation by philanthropist and Crisis Group board member Alexander Soros.
An under-reported banking crisis threatens to exacerbate deadly fighting in Tripoli, ignite a protracted resource war and deepen the country’s east-west divide. A way out requires agreeing to a ceasefire in Tripoli and ending the four-year split between the Central Bank’s rival branches.