The Economics of Conflict (EoC) initiative explores the economic forces behind political violence. Building on years of Crisis Group reporting on economic topics, this effort integrates economic expertise, new data sources and quantitative analysis to complement our traditional fieldwork approach, reach new audiences and deepen our impact. The EoC initiative collaborates with the Empirical Studies of Conflict Project, a network of political scientists and economists at top U.S. universities, and was launched with a generous donation by philanthropist and Crisis Group board member Alexander Soros.
Eighteen months after Washington quit the 2015 Iran nuclear agreement, Tehran is proceeding with staggered steps away from its own compliance. The deal is unravelling against the backdrop of high regional tensions. A de-escalation along the lines developed by France provides an off-ramp.