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Managing Palestine’s Looming Leadership Transition
Managing Palestine’s Looming Leadership Transition
Table of Contents
  1. Executive Summary
  2. Introduction
  3. Fault Lines and Fractures
    1. The 2006 Elections’ Heavy Legacy
    2. Fatah and Hamas Agree to Share Power, Prepare for Elections
    3. Fatah Splinters
    4. Abbas Calls It Off
  4. Abbas and the PA in the Eye of the Storm
    1. Booster Shots for the PA
    2. Local Auguries of Change?
    3. Abbas Promotes His Acolytes
  5. Inching toward Succession
    1. Scenario 1: Going by the Rulebook
    2. Scenario 2: Anointing a Successor
    3. Scenario 3: Deepening Paralysis and Chaos
    4. Israel: Preferences and Preparations
  6. A Way Forward
    1. The Best Case
    2. The More Realistic Case
  7. Conclusion
Police officers stand guard as Palestinians begin registering party lists for May parliamentary election, at the Central Elections Commission's office in Gaza City March 20, 2021. REUTERS/Mohammed Salem
Report / Middle East & North Africa

Managing Palestine’s Looming Leadership Transition

With Mahmoud Abbas ageing, a change is drawing near at the top of the Palestinian national movement. It remains unclear how a successor will be chosen. Elections are the best way, but Abbas and his circle are likely to try other, riskier means first.

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