The killing of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran has brought the Middle East to its moment of greatest peril in years. All concerned must do their utmost to avoid regional war. The most important step, besides mutual restraint, is a Gaza ceasefire.
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In terms of Hamas’ popularity, yes they are the de facto leaders of Palestinians, whether we like it or not.
The perception that Iran can neither protect its homeland nor its key allies could be fatal for the Iranian regime.
Tunisia is on an authoritarian path and these elections are only meant to confirm the president in power and strengthen his hand.
Since October 7, the [Israeli] government is more emboldened to carry out attacks in the West Bank, and they are engaged in collective punishment.
It’s very unlikely Israel will allow any fully fledged civil entity to take over [in Gaza.] At best we’re looking at dysfunctional governance run by aid organizations.
Nobody in the Israeli political establishment is willing to say ‘stop the war’.
In this X space, Crisis Group's experts Ali Vaez and Stephen Pomper talk with Eran Etzion, Dana Stroul, and Danny Citrinowicz about the risks of all-out war between Iran and Israel and how this outcome can still be prevented.
Genuine pressure on Israel and Hamas to enact a Gaza cease-fire could dial down tensions across the region.
Originally published in Foreign Policy.
نهمین رئیس جمهور ایران با میراثی از نارضایتیهای داخلی، آشوبهای منطقهای و روابط سرد با غرب به قدرت میرسد. او باید برای پر کردن شکاف بین جامعه و حاکمیت تلاش کند. دولتهای غربی باید خواسته او برای بهبود روابط با آنها را از طریق تعامل سازنده بیازمایند.
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