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Eastern Mediterranean

CrisisWatch Eastern Mediterranean

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

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Trends for Last Month January 2017

Deteriorated Situations


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Outlook for This Month February 2017

Conflict Risk Alerts


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Reports & Briefings

In The News

16 Feb 2017
Essentially Netanyahu was presented with the choice between a one state or two [state solution]. But he is in favour of one state and a half. AFP

Ofer Zalzberg

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
16 Feb 2017
I think it's fair to assume that Turkish reluctance to get further involved in the Aleppo fight was linked to its understanding with Russia regarding [Operation] Euphrates Shield. Al Jazeera

Noah Bonsey

Senior Analyst, Syria
14 Feb 2017
Netanyahu is basically someone who is extremely risk-averse and wants to preserve stability at all costs. The Christian Science Monitor

Nathan Thrall

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
9 Feb 2017
Have the [Syrian] rebels failed tremendously? Absolutely. Have the supporting states been just as factious as the rebels? Absolutely. Financial Times

Noah Bonsey

Senior Analyst, Syria
1 Feb 2017
The Russian government understands very well the condition of the Syrian army and their capacity to really govern in [the Sunni areas]. They need to maintain what they have already gained. The Wall Street Journal

Ekaterina Sokirianskaia

Project Director, Russia & North Caucasus
29 Jan 2017
The U.S. alliance with the YPG [People’s Protection Units] in Syria is purely tactical. It’s using the YPG as if it’s a security contractor. The Arc Mag

Joost Hiltermann

Program Director, Middle East and North Africa

Latest Updates

Trump’s Threat to Arab-Israeli Peace

U.S. policy threatens to undo not only the two-state solution, but stable relations with Israel’s Arab neighbors.

Originally published in The Cairo Review of Global Affairs

What's at Stake in the Syrian Peace Talks in Astana?

As a new round of Russian and Turkish-backed peace talks on Syria gets underway, Senior Syria Analyst Noah Bonsey looks at the shifting political dynamics and the challenges ahead.

Also available in العربية
Report / Europe & Central Asia

Turkey’s Refugee Crisis: The Politics of Permanence

Turkey is under growing pressure from nearly three million Syrian refugees. To mitigate domestic tensions and spillover from regional conflicts, Ankara needs to develop, and find support for, new policies that open refugees’ routes to jobs, education and permanent legal status.

Also available in Türkçe

Don’t Let Symbols Blind You to the Mundane at the Temple Mount

Once again Israeli leaders denounce UNESCO and tell their people with an odd tone of satisfaction: “The whole world is against us; we you told you so!”

Originally published in The Jerusalem Post

Shoring Up the Status Quo at Jerusalem’s Holy Esplanade

Defusing conflict over Jerusalem’s holiest site.

Our People

Sahar Atrache

Senior Analyst, Lebanon

Noah Bonsey

Senior Analyst, Syria

Nathan Thrall

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine

Ofer Zalzberg

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine