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Eastern Mediterranean

CrisisWatch Eastern Mediterranean

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

View latest updates

Trends for Last Month April 2017

Deteriorated Situations

Syria

Improved Situations

none

Outlook for This Month May 2017

Conflict Risk Alerts

Syria

Resolution Opportunities

none

Reports & Briefings

In The News

23 May 2017
The basic dynamic that you have in place right now is that both Israeli and Palestinian leaders—including [Israel prime minister Benjamin] Netanyahu—are made very nervous by Trump. VICE News

Nathan Thrall

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
21 May 2017
The shift in the Trump administration's approach reflects an assessment that the primary threat posed by surviving ISIS fighters derives from those who came from Europe. Deutsche Welle

Joost Hiltermann

Program Director, Middle East and North Africa
18 May 2017
For Netanyahu the really frightening possibility is that typically a peace process is accompanied by confidence-building measures, [which] are difficult for him to do with his present coalition. Christian Science Monitor

Nathan Thrall

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
2 May 2017
Hamas, like Abbas and Netanyahu, have no idea what to expect of Trump. They all have reasons to fear him; it’s really unknown what he will demand. Financial Times

Nathan Thrall

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
27 Apr 2017
There isn’t an easy solution to [the Turkish-U.S. disagreement on Kurdish militias in Iraq and Syria], and now Turkey has raised the stakes. TIME

Noah Bonsey

Senior Analyst, Syria
21 Apr 2017
[The West has] thrown values by the wayside, but also not been able to act in [their] own interests, because [they] let things [in Syria] go too long. The New York Times

Joost Hiltermann

Program Director, Middle East and North Africa

Latest Updates

Email From Gaza

In this letter from International Crisis Group’s one-man outpost in Gaza to our Middle East & North Africa Program Director,  our analyst there, Azmi Keshawi, describes daily difficulties, deep tensions within Palestinian ranks and the growing likelihood of a new round of war with Israel. 

The US joins the Turkey-PKK fight in northern Syria

Directly arming one mainly Kurdish faction in Syria makes U.S. partly responsible for the fate of Syria’s Kurds. Given Ankara’s bitter opposition to the group, Washington should push its Kurdish partner to focus on regional autonomy in Syria, not its insurgency in Turkey.

Originally published in Middle East Eye

Terrorism and Counter-terrorism: New Challenges for the European Union

Despite suffering significant blows in Syria and Iraq, jihadist movements across the Middle East, North Africa and Lake Chad regions continue to pose significant challenges. In this excerpt from the Watch List 2017 – First Update early-warning report for European policy makers, Crisis Group urges the European Union and its member states to prioritise conflict prevention at the heart of their counter-terrorism policy and continue investment in vulnerable states.

Verify, then Verify Again

Six months into research fellowships made possible by Canadian philanthropist and Crisis Group Trustee Frank Giustra, we catch up with three young experts now working with our Europe, Africa and Middle East teams. Here we talk to Armenak Tokmajyan, working on humanitarian dimensions of the Syrian war.

Our People

Sahar Atrache

Senior Analyst, Lebanon

Noah Bonsey

Senior Analyst, Syria
NoahBonsey

Nathan Thrall

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
nathanthrall

Ofer Zalzberg

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
OferZalzberg