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Eastern Mediterranean

CrisisWatch Eastern Mediterranean

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

View latest updates

Trends for Last Month November 2017

Deteriorated Situations

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Improved Situations

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Outlook for This Month December 2017

Conflict Risk Alerts

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Resolution Opportunities

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Reports & Briefings

In The News

14 Dec 2017
Hamas finds itself in the awkward position of having moved, slowly and grudgingly, towards an international consensus position only to find the consensus falling apart. Al-Ahram

Nathan Thrall

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
13 Dec 2017
Without a [U.S.] reversal of the recognition [of Jerusalem as Israel's capital], the [Palestine Liberation Organization] would need something on the scale of U.S. recognition of Palestine. Pacific Standard

Ofer Zalzberg

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
13 Dec 2017
[Los palestinos] tienen poca confianza en sus líderes y ya no responde al llamamiento de los partidos a la movilización porque sospecha que obedecen a sus intereses partidistas más que al interés nacional. EL PAÍS

Ofer Zalzberg

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
12 Dec 2017
If [U.S.] President Trump now submits a request to Israel to do this and that, in order to restore trust, it becomes more difficult for the Israelis to say 'no,' because that request comes from a hostile president. CBC

Ofer Zalzberg

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
12 Dec 2017
If you’re calling for intifada and general uprising, that implies a willingness to risk everything, including the dissolution of the Palestinian Authority. You have leaders who are clearly not willing to do that. NBC

Nathan Thrall

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
9 Dec 2017
Es demasiado pronto para decir cómo evolucionarán las protestas [de los palestinos], pero está claro incluso que aumentarán cada día que pase. EFE

Ofer Zalzberg

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine

Latest Updates

Encouraging the Knesset’s Right Wing

Trump may have earned himself goodwill in Israel, but at the cost of inflating annexationist sentiment and stirring trouble at Jerusalem’s Holy Esplanade.

Lebanon Needs Help to Revive its Waning Welcome to Syrian Refugees

Eight members of International Crisis Group’s Council and Ambassador Council joined a trip to Lebanon alongside Crisis Group staff in November 2017 to examine the consequences of the Syrian war since 2011. In this op-ed and an accompanying video, Crisis Group supporters from the Council reflect on the Syrian refugees they met and Lebanon’s increased fragility as a result of its enormous new burdens.

A Likely Story

Originally published in The New York Review of Books

Also available in العربية

Lebanon in the Crosshairs

Lebanon is caught between Iran and Saudi Arabia as regional tensions rise following the resignation of Lebanon's Prime Minister Saad Hariri on 4 November. In this video from Beirut, Crisis Group's Project Director for Lebanon, Syria and Iraq Heiko Wimmen argues that the resignation alone is unlikely to destabilise Lebanon, but that sanctions by Gulf states might well derail its fragile economy.

What are the challenges to stabilising Syria's post-ISIS areas?

As Raqqa and its surrounding areas fall into the control of Kurdish governing authorities, providing security and effective governance will be key to preventing the return of the jihadist insurgency. In this video our Senior Analyst for Syria Noah Bonsey echoes the concerns shared with him by local authorities and people on the street.

Our People

Sahar Atrache

Former Senior Analyst, Lebanon

Noah Bonsey

Senior Analyst, Syria
NoahBonsey

Nathan Thrall

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
nathanthrall

Ofer Zalzberg

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
OferZalzberg