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Eastern Mediterranean

CrisisWatch Eastern Mediterranean

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

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Trends for Last Month May 2017

Deteriorated Situations

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Improved Situations

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Outlook for This Month June 2017

Conflict Risk Alerts

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Reports & Briefings

In The News

21 Jun 2017
Both the Israelis and Palestinians are pros at wearing down envoys with endless details. They’ve done it to the most experienced negotiators. The Washington Post

Nathan Thrall

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
19 Jun 2017
The strike [by Iran against ISIS in Syria] further complicates an already complex situation. If the US takes measures beyond rhetorical condemnation, tensions could escalate too far too quickly. Al-Monitor

Ali Vaez

Senior Analyst, Iran
16 Jun 2017
The stark message from Trump and Riyadh is, 'Now you must choose. Are you with the bad guys or the good guys?' Netanyahu understands that Trump has set himself up as judge and jury. Al Jazeera

Ofer Zalzberg

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
8 Jun 2017
[Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin] Netanyahu has been trying to hold back but he has been under very strong pressure from the settlement movement. AFP

Ofer Zalzberg

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
6 Jun 2017
Today we see a steady erosion of incentives for Israel to end the conflict and establish a Palestinian state. Financial Times

Nathan Thrall

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
1 Jun 2017
[Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin] Netanyahu prizes stability over anything else. So on very pragmatic grounds, he’s not disappointed and was not expecting a move [of the U.S. embassy in Israel]. VICE News

Nathan Thrall

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine

Latest Updates

Email From Gaza

In this letter from International Crisis Group’s one-man outpost in Gaza to our Middle East & North Africa Program Director,  our analyst there, Azmi Keshawi, describes daily difficulties, deep tensions within Palestinian ranks and the growing likelihood of a new round of war with Israel. 

The US joins the Turkey-PKK fight in northern Syria

Directly arming one mainly Kurdish faction in Syria makes U.S. partly responsible for the fate of Syria’s Kurds. Given Ankara’s bitter opposition to the group, Washington should push its Kurdish partner to focus on regional autonomy in Syria, not its insurgency in Turkey.

Originally published in Middle East Eye

Terrorism and Counter-terrorism: New Challenges for the European Union

Despite suffering significant blows in Syria and Iraq, jihadist movements across the Middle East, North Africa and Lake Chad regions continue to pose significant challenges. In this excerpt from the Watch List 2017 – First Update early-warning report for European policy makers, Crisis Group urges the European Union and its member states to prioritise conflict prevention at the heart of their counter-terrorism policy and continue investment in vulnerable states.

Verify, then Verify Again

Six months into research fellowships made possible by Canadian philanthropist and Crisis Group Trustee Frank Giustra, we catch up with three young experts now working with our Europe, Africa and Middle East teams. Here we talk to Armenak Tokmajyan, working on humanitarian dimensions of the Syrian war.

Our People

Sahar Atrache

Senior Analyst, Lebanon

Noah Bonsey

Senior Analyst, Syria
NoahBonsey

Nathan Thrall

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
nathanthrall

Ofer Zalzberg

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
OferZalzberg