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Eastern Mediterranean

CrisisWatch Eastern Mediterranean

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

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Trends for Last Month February 2017

Deteriorated Situations

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Improved Situations

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Outlook for This Month March 2017

Conflict Risk Alerts

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Resolution Opportunities

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Reports & Briefings

In The News

16 Mar 2017
The [Syrian] regime refused to discuss a meaningful political transition even when it appeared to be losing ground militarily, so there is no prospect of it choosing to do so now that it has momentum. Al Jazeera

Noah Bonsey

Senior Analyst, Syria
14 Mar 2017
Despite [Hizbollah’s] claim of aiming for a negotiated settlement [in Syria], they are continuing to bet on a maximalist position, on victory. The Daily Star

Sahar Atrache

Senior Analyst, Lebanon
11 Mar 2017
Turkey has always set the Euphrates as a red line [for Kurdish forces in Syria]. The problem is it will be a huge gamble to really do that with US, Russia and YPG, who are a proficient fighting force. AP

Noah Bonsey

Senior Analyst, Syria
16 Feb 2017
Essentially Netanyahu was presented with the choice between a one state or two [state solution]. But he is in favour of one state and a half. AFP

Ofer Zalzberg

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
16 Feb 2017
I think it's fair to assume that Turkish reluctance to get further involved in the Aleppo fight was linked to its understanding with Russia regarding [Operation] Euphrates Shield. Al Jazeera

Noah Bonsey

Senior Analyst, Syria
14 Feb 2017
Netanyahu is basically someone who is extremely risk-averse and wants to preserve stability at all costs. The Christian Science Monitor

Nathan Thrall

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine

Latest Updates

Syria: The Promise of Worse to Come and How to Avoid It

With the war in Syria set to continue well into 2017, many of the conflict's core challenges remain unresolved. In this excerpt from our Watch List 2017 annual early-warning report for European policy makers, we encourage the EU and its member states to use future funding and reconstruction as a lever to ensure that meaningful progress is made toward an overarching political settlement.

Can Trump and Netanyahu Make Progress Toward the “Ultimate Deal”?

As U.S. President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu prepare to meet, the fundamentals of the Israeli-Palestinian peace process hang in the balance.

Trump’s Threat to Arab-Israeli Peace

U.S. policy threatens to undo not only the two-state solution, but stable relations with Israel’s Arab neighbors.

Originally published in The Cairo Review of Global Affairs

What's at Stake in the Syrian Peace Talks in Astana?

As a new round of Russian and Turkish-backed peace talks on Syria gets underway, Senior Syria Analyst Noah Bonsey looks at the shifting political dynamics and the challenges ahead.

Also available in العربية

Our People

Sahar Atrache

Senior Analyst, Lebanon

Noah Bonsey

Senior Analyst, Syria
NoahBonsey

Nathan Thrall

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
nathanthrall

Ofer Zalzberg

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
OferZalzberg